NZD/USD – 1H – SELL

SELL 7× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-29 00:00 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.14 %

Entry

0.56240

Target

0.55977 +0.47 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.57076 −1.49 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,436 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,436 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

15 % at target avg +0.37 % 36 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.17 % 12 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MA Retreat Down, KAMA Retreat Down, EMA Retreat Down +7 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,308 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for NZD/USD

Full calendar

15:00TomorrowUSDJOLTS Job Openings●●●Forecast 6.779MPrevious 7.079Min 18h
15:00TomorrowUSDFactory Orders m/m●●○Forecast 0.1%Previous 0.1%in 18h
21:45TomorrowNZDEmployment Change q/q●●●Forecast 0.4%Previous 0.5%in 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 7× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 7× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (29 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	2.56
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.49
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.36
▼	TRIMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.31
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	2.02
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.86
▲	SQUEEZE Squeeze Fire	indicator	1.81
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.76
▼	QSTICK Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.70
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.52
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.50
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	1.08

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense cluster of bearish signals on the 1H chart indicates strong downward momentum.
Bearish trend is consistent across 30m to 1D timeframes, with solid trend scores on the main trading horizons.
Key levels: resistance at 0.57076 and support at 0.55977; a break below support could accelerate declines.
The 15m shows minor bullish noise, but it is weak and likely to be overridden by the larger bearish trend.

The NZD/USD 1H chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, WILLR OB Exit, and multiple moving average retreats (EMA, KAMA, MA, TRIMA). This confluence of momentum and trend-following indicators points to a strong downward push, with the 88% probability and 'very strong' strength reflecting broad agreement across the indicator suite. The bearish alignment is consistent across the 30m through 1d timeframes, with solid trend scores (3/5) on the 1H, 2H, 4H, and 1D, while the 15m shows only minor bullish noise that is likely to be overwhelmed.

The nearest resistance at 0.57076 serves as the immediate barrier that must hold to keep the bearish thesis intact, while the nearest support at 0.55977 is the first downside target. A break below that support could open the door to further declines, but traders should watch for any failure to hold below resistance or a reversal signal that could invalidate the setup. Overall, the bearish trend is well-established across multiple timeframes, and the current momentum supports a continuation toward lower levels.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple moving average retreats (EMA, KAMA, MA, TRIMA) confirm a persistent bearish trend.
▼ Momentum indicators (BOP, STOCHF, WILLR) align in the same direction, reinforcing the sell signal.
▼ Strong trend scores (3/5) on the 1H, 2H, 4H, and 1D timeframes provide multi-timeframe confluence.
▼ The signal strength is 'very strong' with an 88% probability, indicating high conviction.

Risk Factors

▲ The 15-minute timeframe shows a bullish bias, which could lead to short-term counter-trend bounces.
▲ If price breaks back above the resistance at 0.57076, the bearish setup would be invalidated.
▲ Fading momentum or a reversal candlestick pattern near support could signal a potential bottom.
▲ The nearest support at 0.55977 is a significant level; a strong bounce there could stall the decline.