USD/CAD – 4H – BUY

BUY 7× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-29 05:00 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.18 %

Entry

1.39928

Target

1.43000 +2.20 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.37593 −1.67 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price

So far 50 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 546 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 546 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

25 % at target avg +0.43 % 26 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.30 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.31 % 17 % at stop avg −0.47 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up, CCI OS Exit, HMA Retreat Up +7 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,308 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.1 % vs 17.7 % on average · stopped out 16.6 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 517 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CAD

Full calendar

15:00TodayUSDJOLTS Job Openings●●●Forecast 6.779MPrevious 7.079Min 11h
15:00TodayUSDFactory Orders m/m●●○Forecast 0.1%Previous 0.1%in 11h
13:15TomorrowUSDADP Nonfarm Employment Change●●●Forecast 64KPrevious 90Kin 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (29 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	TSI Signal Cross Down	indicator	2.13
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	1.93
▼	HT SINE Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.92
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	1.80
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.75
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.68
▼	SQUEEZE Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.67
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	1.64
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.62
▲	ADX Trend Strong	indicator	1.49
▲	KDJ OS Exit	indicator	1.32
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	1.17
▼	COPPOCK Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.11
▲	CTI OS Entry	indicator	0.95

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

UPTrend forming

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish signal on 4H is a counter-trend bounce within a broader bearish trend across higher timeframes.
Oversold exits and momentum crossovers support a short-term long, but trend scores remain weak on most timeframes.
Watch the 1.43000 resistance: a break above would strengthen the bullish case, while a drop below support at 1.39684 invalidates it.
Strength is moderate, so position sizing should account for potential bearish pressure from higher timeframes.

The 4H USD/CAD signal cluster is predominantly bullish, driven by a strong ADX trend reading and multiple oversold-exit confirmations (CCI, WILLR) alongside a BOP zero-cross up and STOCH KD cross up. These indicators collectively suggest that downside momentum has stalled and that buying pressure is emerging from an oversold condition. However, the broader timeframe picture is mostly bearish, with the 8H and 1D timeframes showing solid downtrends, while the 4H itself is still classified as bearish and trend-forming. This creates a tension: the signal is a counter-trend bounce within a larger bearish structure, which explains the moderate strength and 70% probability.

Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 1.43000 and support at 1.39684. A sustained move above 1.43000 would signal a stronger bullish reversal, while a break below support would invalidate the bullish case and likely resume the dominant downtrend. The alignment across timeframes is mixed, with only the 30m timeframe showing bullish formation, so traders should treat this as a tactical long within a larger bearish context, not a trend change.

Catalysts

▲ Strong ADX trend reading indicates a clear directional move, supporting the signal's conviction.
▲ Multiple oversold exits (CCI, WILLR) and momentum crossovers (BOP, STOCH) align to confirm a bullish turn.
▲ The 30m timeframe shows a forming bullish trend, providing a near-term tailwind.
▲ The signal cluster includes over 6 additional indicators, adding confluence.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (8H, 1D) are solidly bearish, which could override the 4H bounce.
▼ The 4H timeframe itself is still classified as bearish, so the signal is counter-trend.
▼ A break below the nearest support at 1.39684 would invalidate the bullish setup and likely resume the downtrend.
▼ Resistance at 1.43000 is close and may cap upside if broader bearish pressure persists.