USD/CHF – 12H – SELL

SELL 3× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-28 21:00 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +1.06 %

Entry

0.82795

Target

0.81916 +1.06 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.83950 −1.40 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price

So far 50 of 100 forex 12h signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 210 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 210 closed forex 12h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

19 % at target avg +0.70 % 31 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.43 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.50 % 17 % at stop avg −0.66 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Break Down, KAMA Break Down, SMA 50 Break Down +4 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,308 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.4 % vs 17.7 % on average · stopped out 15.4 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 669 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CHF

Full calendar

07:30TodayCHFCPI y/y●●●Forecast 0.9%Previous 1.0%in 4h
07:30TodayCHFCPI m/m●●●Forecast -0.2%Previous 0.0%in 4h
15:00TodayUSDJOLTS Job Openings●●●Forecast 6.779MPrevious 7.079Min 11h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (29 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.42
▼	KAMA Break Down	indicator	2.38
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	2.14
▼	SMA 50 Break Down	indicator	2.07
▲	AO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.87
▲	ER Level Cross Up	indicator	1.81
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	1.77
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.27
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.21
▼	ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.20
▲	Bullish Doji Star	candlestick	1.03
▼	Gapping Down Doji	candlestick	0.95

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

SELL signal on 12H with 61% probability, but weak strength and conflicting higher timeframes.
Higher timeframes (1H-1D) are bullish and choppy, suggesting the bearish signal may be countertrend.
Key levels: resistance at 0.83950, support at 0.81916; watch for breaks to confirm direction.
Low trend scores across timeframes indicate a lack of strong momentum; expect sideways action.

The USD/CHF 12H signal fires a SELL with a 61% probability and weak strength, driven by a cluster of bearish indicators including CCI OB Exit, KAMA Break Down, SMA 50 Break Down, and ALMA Break Down, alongside crossovers like HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up and AO Zero Cross Up. However, the higher timeframes (1H, 2H, 4H, 8H, 1D) are predominantly bullish, though choppy and sideways, with low trend scores (1/5). This creates a conflicting picture: the 12H bearish signal aligns with the 15m and 30m bearish trends, but the bullish higher timeframes suggest the downtrend may be a countertrend move within a larger consolidation. The weak strength and low trend scores indicate a lack of strong momentum, so the signal should be treated cautiously.

The nearest resistance at 0.83950 and support at 0.81916 frame the immediate range. A break below support would confirm bearish continuation, while holding above resistance would invalidate the bearish case. Given the mixed higher timeframe alignment, the signal is best seen as a short-term opportunity within a sideways market, not a strong directional shift. Traders should watch for price action near these levels and any shift in higher timeframe trend scores to confirm or refute the bearish move.

Catalysts

▼ Cluster of bearish indicators (CCI OB Exit, KAMA Break Down, SMA 50 Break Down, ALMA Break Down) supporting the SELL.
▼ Bearish alignment on lower timeframes (15m, 30m) with the 12H signal.
▼ Multiple crossovers (HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up, AO Zero Cross Up, ER Level Cross Up) adding confluence.
▼ Proximity to resistance at 0.83950, which could act as a launchpad for a bearish move if rejected.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (1H, 2H, 4H, 8H, 1D) are bullish, conflicting with the 12H bearish signal.
▲ Weak strength and low trend scores (1/5) suggest fading momentum; the move may stall.
▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 0.83950 would invalidate the bearish thesis.
▲ Choppy/sideways price action across timeframes could lead to whipsaws; watch for a shift in higher timeframe trend direction.