USD/JPY – 1H – BUY

BUY 10× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-29 05:00 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.08 %

Entry

157.833

Target

158.251 +0.26 %

closes in profit

Stop

156.649 −0.75 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,436 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,436 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

15 % at target avg +0.37 % 36 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.17 % 12 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Break Up, SMA 50 Break Up, EMA 50 Break Up +8 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,308 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.4 % vs 17.7 % on average · stopped out 14.3 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 588 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

15:00TomorrowUSDJOLTS Job Openings●●●Forecast 6.779MPrevious 7.079Min 15h
15:00TomorrowUSDFactory Orders m/m●●○Forecast 0.1%Previous 0.1%in 15h
13:15November 4, 2026USDADP Nonfarm Employment Change●●●Forecast 64KPrevious 90Kin 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (29 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC, updated 10× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	HMA Break Up	indicator	2.90
▲	SMA 50 Break Up	indicator	2.87
▲	EMA 50 Break Up	indicator	2.74
▲	ALMA Break Up	indicator	2.70
▲	EMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	2.31
▲	SMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	2.31
▲	KAMA Break Up	indicator	2.02
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.83
▲	ERI BULL Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.83
▲	HMA Direction Up	indicator	1.51
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	1.24
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.03
▼	Bearish Doji Star	candlestick	0.91
▼	MAMA Cross Down	indicator	0.75

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A very strong bullish signal fires on 1H, but it runs against a bearish multi-timeframe backdrop.
Key levels to watch: resistance at 158.25100 and support at 157.65500.
The 2H timeframe is the only one showing a forming bullish trend, offering some support.
High probability (90%) suggests a strong short-term push, but confirmation above resistance is needed.

The 1H USD/JPY signal fires a dense cluster of bullish triggers, including a STOCH KD Cross Up, EMA 200 and SMA 200 Retreat Up, EMA 50 and SMA 50 Break Up, and a KAMA Break Up, alongside a MAMA Cross Down and ER Level Cross Down. This confluence of moving-average and stochastic indicators suggests a strong, coordinated push higher on the 1H timeframe, with the probability rated at 90% and strength very strong. The nearest resistance sits at 158.25100, while support is at 157.65500, giving a relatively narrow range for the move to develop.

However, the broader trend context is less supportive: the 1H trend is still classified as bearish and choppy, and only the 2H timeframe shows a forming bullish trend. All other timeframes from 15m to 1D are bearish or sideways. This means the bullish signal is firing against the prevailing higher-timeframe sentiment, which could limit follow-through. The signal's strength is high, but the alignment across timeframes is weak, so traders should watch for the 1H move to either break above resistance to confirm a shift or stall and reverse if momentum fades.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of multiple bullish indicators on 1H (STOCH, EMA, SMA, KAMA, MAMA, ER) increases signal reliability.
▲ The 2H timeframe is beginning to form a bullish trend, which may help pull higher timeframes along.
▲ Proximity of support at 157.65500 provides a clear invalidation level; a hold above it supports the bullish case.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (4H to 1D) are bearish, which could cap or reverse the 1H move.
▼ The 1H trend itself is still labeled bearish, so the signal may be premature.
▼ Resistance at 158.25100 is nearby; a failure to break above it would invalidate the bullish setup.
▼ Choppy/sideways conditions on most timeframes suggest low momentum, which may lead to a false breakout.