USD/JPY – 1H – SELL

SELL 5× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-29 15:00 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.10 %

Entry

157.821

Target

156.649 +0.74 %

closes in profit

Stop

158.336 −0.33 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,483 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,483 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

15 % at target avg +0.37 % 36 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.17 % 12 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, MACD Signal Cross Down, MA Retreat Down +17 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,931 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

15:00TodayUSDJOLTS Job Openings●●●Forecast 6.779MPrevious 7.079Min 6h
15:00TodayUSDFactory Orders m/m●●○Forecast 0.1%Previous 0.1%in 6h
13:15TomorrowUSDADP Nonfarm Employment Change●●●Forecast 64KPrevious 90Kin 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 10× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 10× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (29 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC, updated 5× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	CTI OB Exit	indicator	2.34
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.77
▲	QQE Midline Cross Up	indicator	1.76
▼	MACD Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.70
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.69
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	1.68
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	1.67
▼	MOM Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.64
▼	ROC Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.64
▼	ROCR Cross Down	indicator	1.64
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.64
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.63
▼	QSTICK Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.62
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.61
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.59
▲	VORTEX Cross Up	indicator	1.59
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.58
▼	ALMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.54
▼	TSI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.42
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.14
▼	CCI Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.13
▼	AO Saucer Bearish	indicator	1.03
▼	Spinning Top Bearish	candlestick	0.90
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.68

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish momentum signal on 1H with multiple indicators aligned.
Higher timeframes are mostly bearish but choppy—momentum is weak.
Watch nearest resistance at 158.33600 and support at 157.60300.
Conflicting bullish 2H and 8H trends may limit the downside.

The USD/JPY 1H signal is firing a dense cluster of bearish momentum indicators—BOP, CCI, MACD, MOM, ROC, and ROCR all crossing zero or signaling down, alongside DEMA and EMA retreats. This confluence suggests a synchronized shift in momentum and trend alignment on the 1H timeframe, pointing to a likely continuation of the prevailing bearish bias. The 86% probability and very strong strength reflect the breadth of the signal across multiple groups (fibonacci, indicator, candlestick), reinforcing the idea that the current move is supported by a wide range of technical evidence.

Across higher timeframes, the trend is predominantly bearish, though the choppy/sideways nature (1/5) indicates weak momentum and potential for consolidation. The nearest resistance at 158.33600 is a key level to watch—if price fails to hold below it, the bearish case weakens. Conversely, the nearest support at 157.60300 is the immediate downside target; a break below would confirm the bearish momentum. The 2H and 8H bullish trends are conflicting, suggesting that the higher-timeframe bias is not uniformly bearish, which could limit the sustainability of the move. Traders should monitor how price interacts with these levels and whether the choppy conditions resolve into a clean directional push.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of momentum indicators (BOP, CCI, MACD, MOM, ROC, ROCR) all crossing down.
▼ Trend alignment across 15m, 30m, 1h, 4h, 12h, and 1d timeframes.
▼ Very strong signal strength and high probability (86%).

Risk Factors