USD/CAD – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW
1 hour ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.01 %
Entry
1.39634
Target
1.39400 +0.17 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.39968 −0.24 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,848 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,848 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA Retreat Down, MIDPRICE Retreat Down, KAMA Retreat Down +9 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,931 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
35.3 % – vs previous candle
WEAK ⚡ Confluence +5% Scalping
▲ Bullish 14 % (5.18) ▼ Bearish 86 % (31.71)
model score 12.3 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 3 candles
USD/CAD  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CAD

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDFactory Orders m/m●●○Forecast 0.1%Previous 0.1%in 5h
  • TodayUSDJOLTS Job Openings●●●Forecast 6.779MPrevious 7.079Min 5h
  • TomorrowUSDADP Nonfarm Employment Change●●●Forecast 64KPrevious 90Kin 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 30m 12%
conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (3 Nov 2026, 08:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 2.25
▼ MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.22
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 2.19
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 2.17
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 2.16
▼ MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 2.13
▼ DEMA Retreat Down indicator 2.11
▼ MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.11
▼ ALMA Retreat Down indicator 2.06
▲ CCI OS Exit indicator 1.89
▲ BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up indicator 1.75
▲ KDJ Cross Up indicator 1.54
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.46
▼ High Wave Bearish candlestick 0.98
▼ SUPERTREND LEG Leg2 Down indicator3 0.00

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Multiple bearish indicators align on the 30-minute chart, signaling strong selling pressure.
  • All timeframes from 15-minute to daily are bearish, supporting the downside move.
  • Nearest resistance at 1.39968 must hold to keep the sell signal valid.
  • First downside target is support at 1.39518; a break could extend losses.
The USD/CAD 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a BOP Zero Cross Down and a CCI exit from overbought territory, alongside multiple moving-average retreats (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA) and a lower Bollinger Band retreat. This confluence indicates strong selling pressure at the current level, with the price likely to challenge the nearest support at 1.39518. The bearish alignment across all monitored timeframes—from 15-minute to daily—reinforces the downside bias, even though the 30-minute and higher timeframes (1H, 2H) are choppy/sideways, suggesting the move may be more of a grind than a sharp drop.

Key resistance at 1.39968 caps any immediate upside, and as long as price remains below this level, the bearish setup stays intact. The very strong signal strength (86% probability) and the broad-based indicator agreement make this a high-conviction sell signal. However, the choppy nature of the 30-minute and 1-hour trends warns that momentum could stall, so traders should watch for a close above 1.39968 as a sign of invalidation. The nearest support at 1.39518 is the first target, and a break below could open the door to further downside.
Catalysts
  • ▼ High signal probability (86%) and very strong strength.
  • ▼ Confluence of over a dozen bearish signals, including BOP, CCI, and multiple moving averages.
  • ▼ Bearish trend across all timeframes, with solid trends on 15-minute and daily.
  • ▼ Price retreating from the lower Bollinger Band, indicating continued downside momentum.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Choppy/sideways trends on 30-minute and higher timeframes could limit downside follow-through.
  • ▲ A close above 1.39968 would invalidate the bearish setup and could trigger a bounce.
  • ▲ Momentum may fade if price stalls near support at 1.39518 without a break.
  • ▲ The 1-hour and 2-hour trends are weak, so the move could be shallow unless volume increases.
Symbol USD/CAD
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 12%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-11-03 08:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.39968 2026-11-03
S1 1.39518 2026-11-02
S2 1.39505 2026-11-02
S3 1.39418 2026-10-30

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