USD/CAD – 30M – BUY

BUY 2× UPDATED

2026-11-03 09:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.00 %

Entry

1.39649

Target

1.39968 +0.23 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.39038 −0.44 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,848 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,848 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Break Up, Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%), T3 Retreat Up +4 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,931 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % – vs previous candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +10% Scalping

▲ Bullish 88 % (18.90) ▼ Bearish 12 % (2.55)

model score 88.1 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 7.5 % vs 18.0 % on average · stopped out 13.7 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 881 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CAD

Full calendar

15:00TodayUSDFactory Orders m/m●●○Forecast 0.1%Previous 0.1%in 4h
15:00TodayUSDJOLTS Job Openings●●●Forecast 6.779MPrevious 7.079Min 4h
13:15TomorrowUSDADP Nonfarm Employment Change●●●Forecast 64KPrevious 90Kin 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Holding up. Conviction has not dropped below the halfway mark since entry.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (3 Nov 2026, 09:30 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	ALMA Break Up	indicator	2.40
▲	Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	2.33
▲	T3 Retreat Up	indicator	1.92
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.70
▲	ERI BULL Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.60
▼	DX Trend Weak	indicator	1.39
▲	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend	indicator	1.32
▲	Northern Doji	candlestick	1.09
▼	Shooting Star	candlestick	0.91

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A strong bullish signal cluster on the 30-minute chart suggests a short-term upside opportunity.
The broader trend is bearish, so this is a counter-trend move and may be limited.
Key levels: resistance at 1.39968, support at 1.39518.
High probability (87%) and very strong strength indicate high conviction in the signal.

The USD/CAD 30-minute chart has fired a cluster of bullish signals, including a DX Trend Weak, T3 Retreat Up, HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend, ERI BULL Zero Cross Up, ALMA Break Up, HMA Retreat Up, Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%), and a Northern Doji candlestick. This confluence of trend, momentum, and candlestick signals suggests a potential short-term upside move, with the Fibonacci break adding a technical level of interest. The probability is rated at 87% with very strong strength, indicating high conviction in the setup.

However, the broader trend context is bearish across all timeframes, from 15 minutes to daily, with the daily showing a solid downtrend. The 30-minute and 1-hour timeframes are choppy and sideways, which could limit the follow-through of this bullish signal. The nearest resistance at 1.39968 and support at 1.39518 define the immediate range. A break above resistance would confirm the bullish momentum, while a failure to hold above support would invalidate the setup. Traders should watch for a potential pullback to support before the move extends.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of multiple bullish indicators (DX, T3, HT, ERI, ALMA, HMA) and a Fibonacci break.
▲ Northern Doji candlestick indicates potential bullish reversal.
▲ High probability and very strong strength ratings from the signal system.
▲ Near-term support at 1.39518 may provide a launchpad for upward movement.

Risk Factors

▼ The overall trend is bearish across all timeframes, which could overpower the bullish signal.
▼ Choppy/sideways conditions on the 30-minute and 1-hour charts may lead to false breakouts.
▼ If price falls below support at 1.39518, the bullish setup is invalidated.
▼ Resistance at 1.39968 is nearby and could cap upside momentum.