USD/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY 11× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-29 11:30 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.01 %

Entry

157.981

Target

158.336 +0.22 %

closes in profit

Stop

157.603 −0.24 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,754 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,754 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: CCI OB Exit, MAMA PRICE Retreat Up, DEMA Retreat Up +10 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,308 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.8 % vs 17.7 % on average · stopped out 15.2 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 673 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

15:00TodayUSDJOLTS Job Openings●●●Forecast 6.779MPrevious 7.079Min 9h
15:00TodayUSDFactory Orders m/m●●○Forecast 0.1%Previous 0.1%in 9h
13:15TomorrowUSDADP Nonfarm Employment Change●●●Forecast 64KPrevious 90Kin 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (29 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC, updated 11× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	CCI OB Exit	indicator	2.63
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.28
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.23
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.23
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.22
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	2.18
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	2.17
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.16
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	2.14
▲	STOCH OB Exit	indicator	2.12
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.68
▼	HMA Direction Down	indicator	1.31
▲	Bullish Harami Cross	candlestick	1.17
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	1.15

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Momentum and trend indicators align on the 30-minute chart, signaling a strong short-term buying opportunity.
The rally is a counter-trend move against the bearish higher timeframes (4H to 1D), so it may be limited in scope.
Key levels to watch: resistance at 158.067 and support at 157.603; a break of support would invalidate the bullish signal.
The 96% probability and very strong strength suggest high conviction, but only for the 30-minute timeframe.

The USD/JPY 30-minute signal is overwhelmingly bullish, with a 96% probability and very strong strength, driven by a broad cluster of momentum and trend-following indicators. The BOP Zero Cross Up, CCI OB Exit, and STOCH OB Exit all confirm a shift from bearish to bullish momentum, while the retreats of the DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, and MA indicate that these moving averages are now acting as dynamic support. This confluence suggests that buying pressure has reasserted itself after a period of consolidation, with the nearest resistance at 158.067 and support at 157.603 defining the immediate trading range.

However, the longer timeframes tell a different story. While the 15-minute and 30-minute charts are bullish, the 1-hour and 2-hour are only weakly bullish, and the 4-hour through daily timeframes are all bearish. This creates a clear conflict: the short-term momentum is strong, but the broader trend is still pointing down. The signal is therefore best interpreted as a counter-trend rally within a larger bearish structure. The strength of the momentum cluster on the 30-minute chart suggests the rally may have legs, but traders should be cautious about expecting a sustained reversal until the higher timeframes show bullish alignment.

Catalysts

▲ Strong confluence of momentum indicators (BOP, CCI, STOCH) all exiting oversold or crossing zero upward.
▲ Multiple moving averages (DEMA, EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, MA) all retreating upward, indicating broad-based support.
▲ Signal strength is very strong with a 96% probability, reflecting high internal consistency.
▲ The nearest support at 157.603 is close, providing a clear invalidation level that is likely to hold if the bullish momentum persists.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (4H to 1D) are bearish, which could cap the upside or trigger a reversal.
▼ The 1H and 2H timeframes are only weakly bullish, showing a lack of alignment even at medium-term horizons.
▼ If price breaks below the nearest support at 157.603, the bullish signal is invalidated and the counter-trend rally would likely fail.
▼ The strong momentum could fade quickly if the broader bearish trend reasserts, leading to a sharp pullback.