USD/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY NEW
25 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.05 %
Entry
158.047
Target
158.336 +0.18 %
closes in profit
Stop
157.655 −0.25 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average −0.73 % per trade 2,520 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,520 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.23 % 33 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −8.06 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: Trendline Break Up, T3 Break Up, SAR Flip Bullish +20 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 30,404 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
61.0 % – first candle
VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +31% Scalping
▲ Bullish 98 % (60.54) ▼ Bearish 2 % (1.39)
model score 97.7 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.6 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 15.5 % vs 12.5 % (forex, 619 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
USD/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDPCE Price Index y/y●●●Forecast 3.3%Previous 3.4%in 11h
  • TodayUSDPCE Price Index m/m●●●Forecast 0.4%Previous 0.3%in 11h
  • TodayUSDCore PCE Price Index y/y●●●Forecast 3.1%Previous 3.0%in 11h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (29 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ Trendline Break Upbreak + retest trendline 2.90
▲ T3 Break Up indicator 2.55
▲ SAR Flip Bullish indicator 2.42
▲ CTI OS Exit indicator 2.19
▲ DI CROSS Cross Up indicator 2.15
▲ CCI Zero Cross Up indicator 2.06
▲ SMI Signal Cross Up indicator 1.96
▲ SMA 200 Retreat Up indicator 1.92
▲ EMA 200 Retreat Up indicator 1.91
▲ DM CROSS Cross Up indicator 1.90
▲ BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up indicator 1.89
▲ DPO Zero Cross Up indicator 1.87
▲ KELTNER MID Cross Up indicator 1.81
▲ ERI BULL Zero Cross Up indicator 1.80
▲ BIAS Zero Cross Up indicator 1.78
▲ QSTICK Zero Cross Up indicator 1.75
▲ MOM Zero Cross Up indicator 1.72
▲ ROC Zero Cross Up indicator 1.72
▲ ROCR Cross Up indicator 1.72
▲ RSX OS Exit indicator 1.68
▲ CMO Zero Cross Up indicator 1.65
▲ RSI Midline Cross Up indicator 1.65
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.39
▲ Long Line Bullish candlestick 1.16

Trend Context

15M
UPSolid trend
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A very strong bullish signal on the 30-minute chart, with 97% probability and a cluster of momentum indicators all turning up.
  • The trend is not aligned across timeframes: higher timeframes (1h, 4h, 12h, 1d) are bearish, so this is a counter-trend move within a larger downtrend.
  • Key levels: resistance at 158.25100 and support at 157.65500. A break above resistance could extend the rally; a break below support would invalidate the signal.
  • Expect choppy price action given the mixed trend scores; this is a tactical long, not a high-conviction trend trade.
The USD/JPY 30-minute signal is overwhelmingly bullish, with a 97% probability and very strong strength, driven by a cluster of momentum and trend indicators all firing in the same direction. The Trendline Break Up, CCI Zero Cross Up, CMO Zero Cross Up, DI CROSS Cross Up, DM CROSS Cross Up, MOM Zero Cross Up, ROC Zero Cross Up, and ROCR Cross Up, along with 16 additional signals, point to a decisive shift in short-term momentum. This confluence suggests that buyers have taken control on the 30-minute chart, breaking a prior trendline and pushing multiple oscillators above their zero lines.

However, the higher-timeframe picture is mixed. The 15-minute and 2-hour timeframes are bullish, but the 1-hour, 4-hour, 12-hour, and 1-day timeframes are bearish, with most showing only choppy or sideways trends. This divergence means the bullish signal is primarily a short-term event, lacking confirmation from the larger trend. The nearest resistance at 158.25100 is a critical level to watch; a successful break above it could signal a more sustained reversal, while failure to hold above support at 157.65500 would invalidate the bullish case. Traders should treat this as a tactical long opportunity within a broader bearish context, using tight risk management.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Strong confluence of 20+ signals across indicator, candlestick, and trendline groups all pointing bullish on the 30-minute timeframe.
  • ▲ Trendline Break Up indicates a clear structural shift in the short-term price action.
  • ▲ Multiple zero-crossing indicators (CCI, CMO, MOM, ROC) confirm momentum has flipped positive.
  • ▲ Support from the 15-minute and 2-hour bullish trends provides some short-term alignment.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframes (1h, 4h, 12h, 1d) are bearish, suggesting this bullish move may be a correction within a larger downtrend.
  • ▼ The 30-minute trend itself is rated as choppy/sideways, indicating weak trend quality and potential for false signals.
  • ▼ Nearest resistance at 158.25100 is close and could cap upside if not broken with force.
  • ▼ If price falls below support at 157.65500, the bullish signal is invalidated and a quick exit is warranted.
Symbol USD/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 98%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-29 00:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 158.25100 2026-10-28
S1 157.65500 2026-10-28
S2 157.58400 2026-10-27
S3 156.64900 2026-10-26

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