AUD/JPY – 1H – BUY

BUY 8× UPDATED CLOSED
4 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.34 %
Entry
110.457
Target
111.564 +1.00 %
closes in profit
Stop
110.082 −0.34 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,483 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,483 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
15 % at target avg +0.37 % 36 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.17 % 12 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%), STOCHF KD Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Up +2 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,931 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 7.5 % vs 18.0 % on average · stopped out 13.7 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 881 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
AUD/JPY  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar
  • TodayJPYBoJ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes●●○in 20h
  • TomorrowAUDTrade Balance●●○Forecast $1.084BPrevious $0.495Bin 20h
  • November 9, 2026JPYHousehold Spending m/m●●○Forecast 0.8%Previous 0.1%in 5 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 16 × 1h 20%
conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (30 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC, updated 8× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%)break + retest fibonacci 2.43
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.70
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.63
▲ WILLR OS Exit indicator 1.15
▲ ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit indicator 1.01

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Multiple oscillators (BOP, STOCHF, WILLR, ZSCORE) are all flashing bullish, indicating a potential short-term bounce.
  • Fibonacci Break UpTrend at 24% adds a technical confluence to the buy signal.
  • The broader trend is bearish across all timeframes, so this is a counter-trend signal with limited upside unless resistance breaks.
  • Watch the 111.564 resistance and 110.324 support as key levels for confirmation or invalidation.
The AUD/JPY 1H chart has triggered a cluster of bullish oscillators — BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, WILLR OS Exit, and ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit — alongside a Fibonacci Break UpTrend at the 24% retracement level. These signals suggest that downside momentum is exhausting and that buyers are stepping in at a key Fibonacci level, which could lead to a short-term bounce or reversal attempt. However, the broader trend across all timeframes remains bearish, with the 15m through 2h charts showing solid downtrends and higher timeframes (4h and above) in choppy, sideways bearish conditions. This creates a conflict: the intraday oscillators are flashing bullish, but the higher-timeframe trend is still pointing lower.

For traders, the immediate focus is on the nearest resistance at 111.564 and support at 110.324. A break above resistance would signal that the bullish momentum is gaining traction, while a loss of support would invalidate the bounce scenario and likely resume the dominant downtrend. Given the strong signal strength (probability 100%) but the bearish higher-timeframe alignment, this is best treated as a counter-trend long with tight risk management. The confluence of multiple oscillator exits and the Fibonacci level adds weight, but the trend is not yet confirmed to have flipped.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Cluster of four oscillator signals all pointing to bullish momentum.
  • ▲ Fibonacci level at 24% retracement providing a potential support zone.
  • ▲ Very strong signal strength (probability 100%) suggests high conviction among the indicators.
  • ▲ Oscillator extreme exits (WILLR and ZSCORE) often precede mean-reversion bounces.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher-timeframe trends (15m to 2h) are solidly bearish, which could overwhelm a counter-trend bounce.
  • ▼ The 4h and above timeframes are choppy/sideways, offering no bullish confirmation.
  • ▼ If price breaks below the 110.324 support, the bounce thesis is invalidated and the downtrend likely resumes.
  • ▼ The signal is on a 1H timeframe, so the bounce may be short-lived and not lead to a sustained reversal.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 1H
Direction BUY
Conviction 20%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-30 12:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 111.56400 2026-10-29
S1 110.32400 2026-10-26
S2 110.08200 2026-10-26
S3 109.48900 2026-10-23

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