AUD/JPY – 2H – BUY

BUY NEW
20 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.17 %
Entry
110.897
Target
111.564 +0.60 %
closes in profit
Stop
109.489 −1.27 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 14
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 843 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 843 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
20 % at target avg +0.41 % 29 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.20 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 15 % at stop avg −0.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: SMA 200 Retreat Up, BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCH KD Cross Up +7 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 31,056 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
59.3 % – first candle
VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +20% Intraday
▲ Bullish 87 % (19.70) ▼ Bearish 13 % (2.94)
model score 87.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.2 % vs 18.0 % on average · stopped out 14.5 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 546 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
AUD/JPY  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar
  • TodayJPYBoJ Outlook Report●●○in 2h
  • TodayJPYBoJ Monetary Policy Statement●●○in 2h
  • TodayJPYBoJ Interest Rate Decision●●●Previous 1.3%in 2h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (30 Oct 2026, 03:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ SMA 200 Retreat Up indicator 2.30
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 2.09
▲ STOCH KD Cross Up indicator 2.00
▼ ERI BULL Zero Cross Down indicator 1.80
▲ WILLR OS Exit indicator 1.72
▲ TTM TREND Trend Up indicator 1.62
▲ KDJ OS Exit indicator 1.57
▲ ICHIMOKU Cloud Bullish indicator 1.46
▲ KDJ Cross Up indicator 1.28
▲ Bullish Engulfing candlestick 1.20
▲ ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit indicator 1.19
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.14

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
UPChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bullish momentum cluster on 2H, but it's counter to the prevailing bearish trend on higher timeframes.
  • Key resistance at 111.56400; a break above would signal trend shift, while a rejection would favor the bearish bias.
  • Support at 109.48900 is the invalidation zone; losing it would negate the bullish signal.
  • Watch for confirmation on the 1H and 4H timeframes to see if the bounce gains traction.
The AUD/JPY 2H signal fires a cluster of bullish momentum and mean-reversion indicators — BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCH KD Cross Up, WILLR OS Exit, KDJ Cross Up, KDJ OS Exit — alongside SMA 200 Retreat Up, ER Level Cross Down, and ERI BULL Zero Cross Down. Together, these suggest that downside pressure is exhausting and buying momentum is building on the 2H timeframe. The candlestick group reinforces the turn, with patterns aligning to support a bullish reversal attempt.

However, the higher timeframe trend is predominantly bearish (1H, 2H, 4H, 8H, 1D all bearish), and the 15m and 12h are only choppy/sideways. This means the 2H signal is a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend. The nearest resistance at 111.56400 is a critical ceiling; a break above would shift the balance, while failure could see a retest of support at 109.48900. Traders should treat this as a tactical long within a bearish context, not a trend change.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple oscillators (BOP, STOCH, KDJ, WILLR) exiting oversold or crossing up, indicating strong buying pressure at the 2H level.
  • ▲ SMA 200 Retreat Up suggests price is reclaiming above a key moving average, adding a trend-alignment element.
  • ▲ Candlestick patterns (ER Level Cross Down, ERI BULL Zero Cross Down) confirm the bullish reversal setup.
  • ▲ High probability (87%) and very strong signal strength increase confidence in the immediate move.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframes (1H-8H) are bearish, so this could be a dead-cat bounce within a larger downtrend.
  • ▼ Nearest resistance at 111.56400 is nearby; a rejection there would invalidate the bullish case and likely resume the downtrend.
  • ▼ If the 2H momentum fades before breaking resistance, the signal loses validity — watch for a stall or reversal on the 2H chart.
  • ▼ The 15m and 12h timeframes are choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of clean trend alignment that could lead to whipsaw moves.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 2H
Direction BUY
Conviction 87%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-30 01:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 111.56400 2026-10-29
S1 109.48900 2026-10-23
S2 108.63400 2026-10-15

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