ETH/BTC – 4H – SELL

SELL 3× UPDATED

2026-10-30 00:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −1.36 %

Entry

0.02860

Target

0.02842 +0.63 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.02978 −4.13 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 7 of 12

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 55 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,844 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,844 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

32 % at target avg +2.64 % 23 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.81 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.84 % 22 % at stop avg −3.73 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA Retreat Down, SMA Retreat Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down +9 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 32,437 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

57.9 % – vs previous candle

WEAK Swing

▲ Bullish 28 % (5.38) ▼ Bearish 72 % (13.70)

model score 71.8 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 8 candles

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Signal evolution

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 4× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 4× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (30 Oct 2026, 04:02 UTC, updated 3× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.09
▼	SMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.83
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	1.68
▼	MAMA PRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.60
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.45
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.44
▼	KST Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.39
▼	KDJ Cross Down	indicator	1.36
▼	BBANDS LOWER Break Down	indicator	1.36
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	1.34
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.34
▲	RSI OS Entry	indicator	1.15
▲	ZSCORE Extreme Low	indicator	1.08
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.81

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal on ETH/BTC 4H with 91% probability, backed by multiple momentum and trend indicators.
All timeframes are bearish, with the 12H showing a very strong trend, confirming the downside bias.
Watch the nearest resistance at 0.02978; a break above would invalidate the bearish thesis.
No immediate support is defined, so downside targets are unclear; manage risk accordingly.

The 4H ETH/BTC signal is overwhelmingly bearish, with a 91% probability and very strong strength, driven by a cascade of momentum, trend, and volatility indicators. The BOP Zero Cross Down confirms sellers are in control of the order flow, while the RSI OS Entry and STOCHF KD Cross Down indicate the market is oversold, yet the bearish momentum continues. The BBANDS LOWER Break Down signals a volatility expansion to the downside, and the EMA, HT TRENDLINE, MA, and MAMA PRICE Retreat Downs all confirm that price is pulling away from key moving averages and trendlines, reinforcing the downtrend.

Across timeframes, the bearish trend is consistent: solid on 15m, 30m, 1h, 8h, and 1d, and very strong on 12h, while 2h and 4h are forming. This broad alignment suggests the sell-off has legs. The nearest resistance at 0.02978 is the immediate level to watch for any pullback, but with no defined support, the path of least resistance is lower. The confluence of multiple indicator groups (candlestick and indicator) adds to the signal's reliability.

Catalysts

▼ Overwhelming confluence of bearish signals across candlestick and indicator groups.
▼ Consistent bearish trend across all timeframes, with very strong 12H trend score.
▼ Price breaking below the lower Bollinger Band signals volatility expansion to the downside.
▼ Momentum indicators (RSI, STOCHF) confirming oversold conditions yet still pointing lower.

Risk Factors

▲ Oversold conditions (RSI OS Entry, STOCHF KD Cross Down) could lead to a short-term bounce.
▲ The 4H trend is only 'forming' (2/5), so the bearish move may not be fully established yet.
▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 0.02978 would invalidate the signal.
▲ Watch for any bullish reversal candlestick patterns or a shift in higher timeframe trend.