EUR/JPY – 12H – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-10-29 21:00 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.89 %

Entry

176.086

Target

173.988 +1.19 %

closes in profit

Stop

177.968 −1.07 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price · now candle 5 of 9

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 50 of 100 forex 12h signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 222 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 222 closed forex 12h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

19 % at target avg +0.71 % 31 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.42 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.50 % 18 % at stop avg −0.65 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MA Retreat Down, SMA Retreat Down, EMA Retreat Down +7 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,931 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.3 % – vs previous candle

WEAK Position

▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100 % (29.77)

model score 3.8 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 6 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/JPY

Full calendar

08:00TodayEURUnemployment Change●●○Forecast 27.971KPrevious 23.587Kin 7h
10:00TodayEURCore CPI●●●Previous 103.31in 9h
10:00TodayEURCPI●●●Previous 104.31in 9h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (30 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	2.24
▼	SMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.21
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.18
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	2.07
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.04
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	1.80
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.76
▲	CCI Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.64
▲	SAR Flip Bullish	indicator	1.50
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.47
▲	TSI Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.33
▲	FISHER Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.31
▲	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend	indicator	1.27
▼	Bearish Harami	candlestick	0.99
▼	Spinning Top Bearish	candlestick	0.98

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish alignment on 8H and 12H timeframes supports the sell signal.
Multiple technical indicators (BOP, STOCHF, moving averages) are all pointing lower, increasing signal reliability.
Shorter timeframes are weak and choppy, so expect potential pullbacks or sideways action within the downtrend.
Resistance at 177.96800 is the key level to monitor; a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup.

The EUR/JPY 12H chart has fired a cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, and multiple retreat signals from key moving averages and trendlines. The confluence of these indicators points to selling pressure building in the medium-term, with the 12H and 8H timeframes showing solid bearish trends (strength 3/5). However, the shorter timeframes (15m to 2h) are bearish but choppy and weak (1/5), indicating that the immediate momentum is not strongly aligned and the move may be erratic. The 4H timeframe is actually bullish, adding a layer of conflict that could limit downside follow-through.

Key levels to watch include the nearest resistance at 177.96800, which aligns with the retreat levels and could act as a pivot for further downside if price respects it. With no clear nearest support defined, the downside target is open, but the mixed shorter-term trends suggest that any decline may be uneven. The overall bearish alignment across the 8H and 12H timeframes supports the sell signal, but traders should be cautious of the choppy conditions on lower timeframes, which could lead to false breakouts or whipsaws.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of bearish signals across indicator groups (candlestick and indicator).
▼ Solid bearish trend on the 8H and 12H timeframes (strength 3/5).
▼ Price retreating from key moving averages and trendlines, indicating rejection at resistance.
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down suggests selling pressure is gaining momentum.

Risk Factors

▲ Conflicting bullish trend on the 4H timeframe could limit downside or trigger reversals.
▲ Choppy and weak trends on lower timeframes (15m-2h) indicate a lack of momentum, increasing the risk of false moves.
▲ If price breaks above the nearest resistance at 177.96800, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
▲ The absence of a defined support level means potential downside could be sharp but also unpredictable.