EUR/JPY – 2H – SELL

SELL 4× UPDATED CLOSED
4 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed at target · result +0.46 %
Entry
176.209
Target
175.394 +0.46 %
closes in profit
Stop
177.920 −0.97 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price
So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 927 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 927 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
20 % at target avg +0.41 % 30 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.20 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 15 % at stop avg −0.44 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA 200 Retreat Down, SMA 200 Retreat Down, ER Level Cross Down +6 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,931 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
EUR/JPY  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/JPY

Full calendar
  • TomorrowEURUnemployment Change●●○Forecast 27.971KPrevious 23.587Kin 10h
  • TomorrowEURCore CPI●●●Previous 103.31in 12h
  • TomorrowEURCPI●●●Previous 104.31in 12h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 8 × 2h 92%
conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (30 Oct 2026, 01:00 UTC, updated 4× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ EMA 200 Retreat Down indicator 2.18
▼ SMA 200 Retreat Down indicator 2.12
▲ WILLR OB Exit indicator 1.99
▲ KDJ OB Exit indicator 1.82
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.78
▲ DI CROSS Cross Up indicator 1.76
▼ ZSCORE Extreme High Exit indicator 1.59
▼ STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.56
▲ DM CROSS Cross Up indicator 1.55
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.45
▼ TTM TREND Trend Down indicator 1.38
▼ HMA Direction Down indicator 1.28
▼ Bearish Engulfing candlestick 0.81

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
UPChoppy / sideways
4H
UPChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNSolid trend
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A dense cluster of bearish signals on the 2H timeframe suggests a high-probability sell opportunity, but mixed shorter-term trends warrant caution.
  • The 8H and 12H solid bearish trends provide the strongest support for the sell signal, while 2H/4H are still bullish.
  • Key levels: resistance at 176.39800 and support at 175.39400; a break below support confirms the bearish move.
  • Moderate strength and 69% probability indicate a reasonable edge, but invalidation is likely if price reclaims resistance.
The 2H timeframe has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, all pointing to a loss of upward momentum and a potential shift lower. The BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, and WILLR OB Exit indicate waning buying pressure and deteriorating momentum, while the DI CROSS and DM CROSS Cross Up suggest that the bearish move is being confirmed by dynamic indicators. The EMA 200 and SMA 200 Retreat Down signal that price is pulling back from key moving averages, and the ER Level Cross Down highlights a break below a significant level. This confluence of indicator and candlestick patterns gives the SELL signal a moderate strength with a 69% probability.

However, the trend alignment across timeframes is mixed. The 15m through 1h timeframes are bearish but choppy, while the 2H and 4H are still bullish, creating conflicting signals. The 8H and 12H timeframes show a solid bearish trend, and the 1D is forming bearish, suggesting that the longer-term trend supports the sell. The key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 176.39800 and support at 175.39400. A break below support would confirm the bearish momentum, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the signal. Traders should monitor these levels closely for confirmation.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multiple indicators (BOP, STOCH KD, WILLR) confirm weakening momentum and buying pressure.
  • ▼ EMA 200 and SMA 200 retreats signal price rejection from key moving averages.
  • ▼ Solid bearish trends on 8H and 12H timeframes align with the 2H signal.
  • ▼ ER Level Cross Down highlights a significant level break that could trigger further downside.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Conflicting bullish trends on 2H and 4H timeframes could stall the bearish move.
  • ▲ Choppy/sideways price action on lower timeframes may lead to false signals.
  • ▲ If price reclaims the resistance at 176.39800, the sell signal is invalidated.
  • ▲ Momentum may fade if the 1D trend fails to strengthen beyond 'forming'.
Symbol EUR/JPY
Timeframe 2H
Direction SELL
Conviction 92%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-29 23:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 176.39800 2026-10-28
R2 176.43300 2026-10-26
R3 177.92000 2026-10-20
S1 175.39400 2026-10-28
S2 175.09800 2026-10-23

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