EUR/USD – 12H – BUY

BUY 2× UPDATED
4 days ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.38 %
Entry
1.11947
Target
1.12696 +0.67 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.11129 −0.73 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price · now candle 5 of 9
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 50 of 100 forex 12h signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 222 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 222 closed forex 12h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
19 % at target avg +0.71 % 31 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.42 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.50 % 18 % at stop avg −0.65 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: ALMA Break Up, MIDPOINT Break Up, BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up +14 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,931 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
35.3 % ↓ −24.0 vs previous candle
WEAK Position
▲ Bullish 73 % (12.23) ▼ Bearish 27 % (4.48)
model score 13.8 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 6 candles
EUR/USD  ·  12H
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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/USD

Full calendar
  • TodayEURUnemployment Change●●○Forecast 27.971KPrevious 23.587Kin 6h
  • TodayEURCore CPI●●●Previous 103.31in 8h
  • TodayEURCPI●●●Previous 104.31in 8h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 6 × 12h 14%
conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (30 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ ALMA Break Up indicator 1.79
▲ MIDPOINT Break Up indicator 1.78
▲ BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up indicator 1.69
▲ MAMA PRICE Break Up indicator 1.67
▲ HMA Break Up indicator 1.61
▲ DEMA Break Up indicator 1.57
▼ DX Trend Weak indicator 1.48
▲ TSI Signal Cross Up indicator 1.35
▲ CTI OS Exit indicator 1.29
▲ MACD Signal Cross Up indicator 1.17
▲ SAR Flip Bullish indicator 1.00
▲ BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up indicator 0.97
▲ QSTICK Zero Cross Up indicator 0.90
▲ CCI Zero Cross Up indicator 0.84
▲ MOM Zero Cross Up indicator 0.84
▲ ROC Zero Cross Up indicator 0.84
▲ ROCR Cross Up indicator 0.84
▲ KELTNER MID Cross Up indicator 0.75

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
UPTrend forming
1H
UPTrend forming
2H
UPTrend forming
4H
UPTrend forming
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Multiple momentum indicators (CCI, MACD, MOM, ROC, ROCR) all fired upward crosses on the 12H chart, signaling strong bullish momentum.
  • The bullish signal is a counter-trend move against the bearish 12H and 1D trends, so expect potential resistance overhead.
  • Watch the nearest resistance at 1.12696; a break above could turn the higher timeframe trend bullish, while support at 1.11129 is the key invalidation level.
  • Lower timeframes (15m-4h) are bullish and forming trends, supporting the signal, but the 8H is choppy, adding uncertainty.
The EUR/USD 12H signal has fired a cluster of momentum and trend indicators, including CCI Zero Cross Up, MACD Signal Cross Up, MOM Zero Cross Up, ROC Zero Cross Up, and ROCR Cross Up, alongside Bollinger Bands middle and lower band retreats. This confluence suggests a strong bullish push within the 12H timeframe, with the DX Trend Weak indicating a lack of strong trend direction, which can often precede a breakout. The signal's very strong strength and 95% probability reflect the alignment of multiple indicators, but the broader context shows a mixed picture: while lower timeframes (15m to 4h) are bullish and forming trends, the 8H is choppy, and the 12H and 1D are still bearish, with the daily trend very strong. This divergence implies that the bullish signal may be a counter-trend move within a larger downtrend, so caution is warranted. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 1.12696 and support at 1.11129; a break above resistance could signal a shift in the higher timeframe trend, while a drop below support would invalidate the bullish setup.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Confluence of 10+ indicators all pointing bullish on the 12H timeframe, including CCI, MACD, MOM, ROC, and Bollinger Bands.
  • ▲ Lower timeframes (15m-4h) are bullish and forming trends, providing a supportive backdrop for the 12H signal.
  • ▲ DX Trend Weak suggests the market is not strongly trending, which can lead to sharp moves when momentum aligns.
  • ▲ Bollinger Bands lower retreat and middle cross up indicate price is moving from oversold to a more neutral-to-bullish stance.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The 12H and 1D timeframes are still bearish, with the daily trend very strong, so the bullish signal may be a temporary correction.
  • ▼ The 8H timeframe is choppy/sideways, which could lead to false signals or whipsaws.
  • ▼ If price fails to break above resistance at 1.12696, the bullish momentum could fade and reverse.
  • ▼ A drop below support at 1.11129 would invalidate the bullish signal and likely resume the larger downtrend.
Symbol EUR/USD
Timeframe 12H
Direction BUY
Conviction 14%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-29 21:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.12696 2026-10-16
R2 1.16538 2026-09-09
R3 1.17109 2026-08-21
S1 1.11129 2026-10-14

Tags

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