USD/CAD – 2H – SELL

SELL 6× UPDATED CLOSED
4 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.16 %
Entry
1.39643
Target
1.38986 +0.47 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.40686 −0.75 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price
So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 927 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 927 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
20 % at target avg +0.41 % 30 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.20 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 15 % at stop avg −0.44 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: Trendline Break Down, MIDPRICE Retreat Down, MIDPOINT Retreat Down +10 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,931 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
USD/CAD  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CAD

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDADP Nonfarm Employment Change●●●Forecast 64KPrevious 90Kin 11h
  • TodayCADTrade Balance●●○Forecast $0.488BPrevious $4.199Bin 12h
  • TodayUSDImports●●○Previous $420.754Bin 12h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 15 × 2h 4%
conviction per candle 8× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 8× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (30 Oct 2026, 09:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ Trendline Break Downbreak + retest trendline 2.84
▼ MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.50
▼ MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 2.46
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 2.38
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 2.29
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 2.21
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 2.12
▼ DEMA Retreat Down indicator 2.08
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.48
▲ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up indicator 1.45
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.39
▲ WILLR OS Entry indicator 1.21
▼ SMI Signal Cross Down indicator 1.07
▼ Bearish Separating Lines candlestick 0.96
▼ Bearish Engulfing candlestick 0.94

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish confluence: trendline breaks, momentum shifts, and moving average retreats all align on the 2H chart.
  • All timeframes are bearish, with the 2H and 1D showing solid trends, supporting the sell signal.
  • Watch the 1.40686 resistance level—a break above would invalidate the bearish setup.
  • Oversold conditions (WILLR) may slow momentum, but in a strong downtrend they often signal continuation, not reversal.
The USD/CAD 2H chart has fired a comprehensive SELL signal, driven by a confluence of trendline breaks, momentum shifts, and moving average retreats. The Trendline Break Down and HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down confirm a break of key structural support, while the BOP Zero Cross Down and STOCHF KD Cross Down indicate deteriorating buying pressure. The WILLR OS Entry suggests oversold conditions, but within a strong downtrend this often reflects continued bearish momentum rather than an imminent reversal. The DEMA, EMA, and KAMA Retreat Down signals all show price pulling back from moving averages, reinforcing the bearish bias.

Across timeframes, the bias is uniformly bearish, with the 2H and 1D showing solid trends (3/5) and the 4H, 8H, and 12H forming trends (2/5). The 15m and 1H are choppy/sideways, which could lead to short-term noise, but the overall alignment supports the downside. The nearest resistance at 1.40686 is the immediate level to watch; a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup. With no defined support, the next downside targets are unclear, so traders should manage risk carefully and watch for any reversal signals.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Trendline Break Down and HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down confirm structural support break.
  • ▼ BOP Zero Cross Down and STOCHF KD Cross Down show deteriorating buying pressure.
  • ▼ Uniform bearish trend across all timeframes, with 2H and 1D at 3/5 trend strength.
  • ▼ Multiple moving average retreats (DEMA, EMA, KAMA) reinforce the bearish pullback.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Choppy/sideways action on 15m and 1H could lead to false moves or whipsaws.
  • ▲ Oversold conditions (WILLR) may trigger a short-term bounce, slowing the downtrend.
  • ▲ No defined support level means the next downside target is unclear, increasing uncertainty.
  • ▲ A break above 1.40686 resistance would invalidate the bearish signal and could trigger a short squeeze.
Symbol USD/CAD
Timeframe 2H
Direction SELL
Conviction 4%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-30 07:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.40686 2026-10-28
R2 1.40821 2026-10-21
R3 1.43000 2026-10-14

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