USD/CHF – 30M – SELL

SELL 7× UPDATED CLOSED
4 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.12 %
Entry
0.82246
Target
0.81917 +0.40 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.82970 −0.88 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,848 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,848 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: MAMA PRICE Retreat Down, KAMA Retreat Down, DEMA Retreat Down +8 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,931 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
USD/CHF  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CHF

Full calendar
  • TomorrowUSDADP Nonfarm Employment Change●●●Forecast 64KPrevious 90Kin 19h
  • TomorrowUSDImports●●○Previous $420.754Bin 19h
  • TomorrowUSDExports●●○Previous $315.182Bin 19h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 17 × 30m 18%
conviction per candle 9× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 9× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (29 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.01
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 1.83
▼ DEMA Retreat Down indicator 1.80
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 1.80
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 1.79
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 1.77
▼ MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 1.75
▼ ALMA Retreat Down indicator 1.70
▼ MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.69
▲ ADXR Trend Strong indicator 1.42
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.23
▼ Bearish Engulfing candlestick 0.79

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Bearish momentum is very strong on the 30-minute chart with a 94% probability, backed by multiple moving-average retreats and a BOP zero-cross-down.
  • The short-term trend is solid on the 15m and 30m, but higher timeframes are mostly choppy/sideways, so the move may be limited.
  • Key levels: resistance at 0.82970 and support at 0.81917. Watch for a break below support to confirm further downside.
  • A reclaim of the 0.82970 resistance would invalidate the bearish signal and suggest a false breakdown.
The USD/CHF 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, with a very strong probability of 94%. Multiple moving-average retreats (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA, MAMA) and a trendline retreat confirm that price has decisively pulled back from recent highs, while the ADXR trend strength indicator and a BOP zero-cross-down add momentum and flow confirmation. The confluence of these signals on the 30-minute timeframe points to a well-established short-term downtrend.

Across higher timeframes, the bearish bias is consistent but less robust. The 15-minute and 30-minute trends are solid, while the 1-hour, 4-hour, 8-hour, 12-hour, and 1-day timeframes are all choppy/sideways, indicating that the larger picture lacks a strong directional push. The 2-hour trend is forming bearish, which could support continuation. Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.82970 and the nearest support at 0.81917. A break below support would confirm the downtrend, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the short-term bearish signal.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multiple moving-average retreats (DEMA, EMA, KAMA, MA, MAMA) align on the same direction, reinforcing the bearish move.
  • ▼ ADXR trend strength indicates strong directional momentum, supporting the high probability.
  • ▼ BOP zero-cross-down confirms a shift in buying/selling pressure, adding confluence.
  • ▼ The 2-hour trend is forming bearish, suggesting potential alignment if the move extends.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Higher timeframes (1h, 4h, 8h, 12h, 1d) are choppy/sideways, meaning the bearish move lacks broader confirmation and could stall.
  • ▲ The nearest resistance at 0.82970 is close; if price reclaims this level, the short-term bearish signal is invalidated.
  • ▲ Momentum could fade if the ADXR trend strength weakens or if the BOP crosses back above zero.
  • ▲ The 1-hour timeframe shows a weaker trend (1/5), so a pullback or consolidation is possible before further downside.
Symbol USD/CHF
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 18%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-10-29 22:30
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.82970 2026-10-29
R2 0.82975 2026-10-29
R3 0.83082 2026-10-28
S1 0.81917 2026-10-23
S2 0.81916 2026-10-22

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