AUD/CAD – 4H – SELL

SELL NEW
47 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.05 %
Entry
0.97540
Target
0.97039 +0.51 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.99067 −1.57 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 0 of 12
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 50 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 563 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 563 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
25 % at target avg +0.42 % 25 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.31 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.31 % 17 % at stop avg −0.47 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: Double Top, Trendline Break Down, MIDPOINT Retreat Down +8 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,931 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
61.0 % – first candle
VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +1% Swing
▲ Bullish 8 % (1.99) ▼ Bearish 92 % (24.01)
model score 92.4 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
AUD/CAD  ·  4H
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/CAD

Full calendar
  • TodayAUDAi Group Industry Index●●○Previous -24.2in 3h
  • TomorrowCADTrade Balance●●○Forecast $0.488BPrevious $4.199Bin 18h
  • November 5, 2026AUDTrade Balance●●○Forecast $1.084BPrevious $0.495Bin 1 day

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (3 Nov 2026, 18:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ Double Topbreak + retest chart_pattern 2.84
▲ BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up indicator 1.99
▼ Trendline Break Downbreak + retest trendline 1.98
▼ MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 1.98
▼ MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 1.91
▼ DEMA Retreat Down indicator 1.64
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.63
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 1.58
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.39
▼ TTM TREND Trend Down indicator 1.28
▼ Belt Hold Bearish candlestick 0.91
▼ SUPERTREND LEG Leg2 Down indicator3 0.00

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish confluence: Trendline Break Down, Double Top, and multiple indicator confirmations.
  • Trend is bearish across all timeframes, with solid trend scores on 1H, 2H, and 4H.
  • Key resistance at 0.99067 is the invalidation level; a break above it would negate the setup.
  • No nearby support defined, so downside may be open, but watch for lower-timeframe support zones.
The AUD/CAD 4H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Break Down and a Double Top pattern, with additional confirmation from BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, and multiple moving-average retreats (DEMA, EMA, MIDPOINT). This confluence indicates strong selling pressure and a likely continuation of the downtrend. The trend across timeframes is uniformly bearish, with solid trend scores (3/5) on the 1H, 2H, and 4H charts, while shorter and longer timeframes are also bearish but choppier. The nearest resistance at 0.99067 is the key level to watch; a break back above it would invalidate the bearish setup. With no nearby support defined, the downside could be open, but traders should monitor for potential support levels on lower timeframes as price declines.

The alignment of multiple signals and the consistent bearish trend across timeframes strongly support the SELL direction. The Double Top and Trendline Break Down are classic reversal/continuation patterns, and the BOP zero cross down confirms selling pressure. The STOCHF KD cross down adds momentum confirmation, while the retreat of moving averages indicates that price is below key dynamic resistance. However, the higher timeframe (1D) is only mildly bearish and choppy, which could limit the depth of the move. Additionally, the 15m and 12h timeframes show choppy conditions, suggesting a lack of strong momentum at the extremes. Traders should watch for a potential bounce if price approaches a prior support zone or if the 4H closes back above 0.99067.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multiple pattern and indicator signals aligning in the same direction (Trendline Break Down, Double Top, BOP, STOCHF).
  • ▼ Consistent bearish trend across 1H to 4H timeframes with solid trend scores.
  • ▼ Moving averages (DEMA, EMA, MIDPOINT) retreating, indicating price below dynamic resistance.
  • ▼ BOP zero cross down confirms active selling pressure.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Higher timeframe (1D) is only mildly bearish and choppy, which may limit the move's depth.
  • ▲ Choppy conditions on 15m and 12h could lead to false breakouts or pullbacks.
  • ▲ If price breaks above 0.99067, the bearish setup is invalidated.
  • ▲ No defined support nearby, so a rapid decline could trigger short-covering rallies.
Symbol AUD/CAD
Timeframe 4H
Direction SELL
Conviction 92%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-11-03 14:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.99067 2026-10-28
R2 0.99664 2026-10-14
R3 0.99757 2026-10-09

Tags

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