LUNC/USDT – 1H – SELL

SELL NEW

2026-11-03 17:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.51 %

Entry

0.00004084

Target

0.00004012 +1.76 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.00004307 −5.46 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 15

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 54 of 100 crypto 1h signals ended in profit · on average +0.03 % per trade 6,681 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 6,681 closed crypto 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

32 % at target avg +1.60 % 22 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.52 % 23 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.52 % 23 % at stop avg −2.01 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 40 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 32 of 100 across all crypto 1h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MAMA PRICE Break Down, T3 Break Down, HMA Break Down +7 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,931 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

35.9 % ↓ −31.2 vs previous candle

WEAK Intraday

▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100 % (22.93)

model score 0.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for LUNC/USDT

Full calendar

13:15TomorrowUSDADP Nonfarm Employment Change●●●Forecast 64KPrevious 90Kin 17h
15:00TomorrowUSDISM Non-Manufacturing Prices Paid●●●Forecast 69.5Previous 74.0in 19h
15:00TomorrowUSDISM Non-Manufacturing PMI●●●Forecast 55.2Previous 54.9in 19h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (3 Nov 2026, 18:02 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MAMA PRICE Break Down	indicator	2.40
▼	T3 Break Down	indicator	2.31
▼	HMA Break Down	indicator	2.21
▼	SMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	2.16
▼	ALMA Break Down	indicator	2.13
▼	EMA 50 Retreat Down	indicator	1.88
▼	KELTNER MID Cross Down	indicator	1.73
▼	CCI Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.66
▼	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down	indicator	1.43
▼	Closing Marubozu Bearish	candlestick	1.22

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

12H

DOWNExtremely strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple trend-following indicators (EMA, SMA, ALMA, HMA, T3) all broke down, confirming a strong bearish momentum on the 1H chart.
Bearish alignment across all timeframes, with the 12H showing an extremely strong trend, supports the sell signal.
Key level is 0.00004, acting as both support and resistance; a break below could lead to further downside.
Signal strength is very strong with 100% probability, but the tight range warrants caution for potential whipsaws.

The LUN/CUSDT 1H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, including CCI Zero Cross Down, BBANDS Middle Cross Down, EMA 50 Retreat Down, MAMA PRICE Break Down, SMA 50 Retreat Down, T3 Break Down, ALMA Break Down, and HMA Break Down, all aligning to confirm a strong selling bias. This confluence of momentum and trend-following indicators points to sustained downward pressure, with the nearest support and resistance both at 0.00004, indicating a tight range that could see a decisive break.

Across timeframes, the bearish trend is consistent and strengthens with higher timeframes: 8H and 12H show very strong and extremely strong trends (4/5 and 5/5), while 1H and 2H are forming or solid. The 30M is choppy, but the overall alignment supports the 1H sell signal. The key level to watch is 0.00004; a break below could accelerate the decline, while a bounce might signal a temporary pause. The probability is rated 100% with very strong strength, but traders should remain cautious given the tight range.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple bearish signals (CCI, BBANDS, MAMA) all firing simultaneously.
▼ Higher timeframe trends (8H, 12H) are strongly bearish, providing a solid backdrop.
▼ Trend scores increase with timeframe, indicating a well-established downtrend.
▼ Price is retreating from key moving averages, suggesting sellers are in control.

Risk Factors

▲ The immediate support and resistance are the same (0.00004), which may lead to a range-bound market and limit follow-through.
▲ The 30M timeframe is choppy and sideways, which could indicate a lack of momentum in the short term.
▲ If price fails to break below 0.00004, the bearish signal could be invalidated, leading to a bounce.
▲ Overbought conditions may be building after a prolonged decline, increasing the risk of a corrective rally.