USD/CHF – 4H – BUY

BUY NEW

2026-10-30 01:00 UTC 15 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.01 %

Entry

0.82233

Target

0.83127 +1.09 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.81916 −0.39 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 0 of 12

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 50 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 513 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 513 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

25 % at target avg +0.43 % 25 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.31 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.31 % 18 % at stop avg −0.48 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: CHOP Trending, STOCH KD Cross Up, BOP Zero Cross Up +7 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 31,056 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

53.6 % – first candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +2% Swing

▲ Bullish 62 % (12.97) ▼ Bearish 38 % (7.90)

model score 62.1 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 7.9 % vs 18.0 % on average · stopped out 13.3 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 797 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CHF

Full calendar

08:00TodayCHFKOF Economic Barometer●●○in 2h
12:30TodayUSDEmployment Cost Index q/q●●○Forecast 0.8%Previous 0.9%in 7h
13:45TodayUSDMNI Chicago Business Barometer●●○Forecast 61.3Previous 58.8in 8h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (30 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	EMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross	indicator	1.96
▲	CHOP Trending	indicator	1.63
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.56
▼	AO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.55
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.53
▼	APO Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.50
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.49
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	1.49
▼	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle	indicator	1.34
▲	Bullish Harami	candlestick	1.34
▲	KDJ OS Exit	indicator	1.23
▲	ZSCORE Extreme Low Exit	indicator	1.19
▲	RSX OS Entry	indicator	1.06
▲	Hammer	candlestick	0.94
▲	KELTNER LOWER Lower Retreat	indicator	0.89

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Buy signal is a counter-trend attempt within a broadly bearish market.
Nearest resistance at 0.83127 is the immediate hurdle; support at 0.81916 is the invalidation zone.
Weak strength (62%) and low trend scores on higher timeframes suggest limited follow-through.
Watch for a failure to break resistance—likely to resume the downtrend.

The 4H USD/CHF signal cluster is firing BUY, yet the broader trend context is uniformly bearish across all timeframes, from 15m to 1d. The signal set is a mix of oscillator and momentum indicators (APO, BOP, STOCH, WILLR, AO, ER) all crossing in a bullish direction, alongside a Death Cross on the EMA 20/50 and a shift to Cycle mode on the HT trend indicator. This creates a conflicting picture: short-term momentum is attempting to turn higher, but the dominant trend is clearly down. The probability of 62% with weak strength suggests the buy signal is tentative, likely a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend.

Key levels frame the immediate risk. The nearest resistance at 0.83127 sits just above current price, while support at 0.81916 is the nearest floor. For the buy signal to gain traction, price must reclaim and hold above the resistance; a failure to do so would likely see the bearish trend reassert. The trend scores are weak at the higher timeframes (1/5 for 8H, 12H, 1D), indicating choppy, sideways conditions that offer little directional conviction. Traders should treat this as a high-risk, low-conviction setup, best suited for nimble, short-term plays rather than a sustained bullish position.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple oscillator indicators (APO, BOP, STOCH, WILLR, AO, ER) all crossing bullish in sync.
▲ Momentum shift is occurring on the 4H timeframe, which can precede a larger reversal if supported.
▲ The HT trend mode shift to 'Cycle' indicates a potential regime change from trend to range, which may allow a bounce.

Risk Factors

▼ All timeframes are bearish; the buy signal is isolated and unsupported by higher timeframe trends.
▼ The EMA 20/50 Death Cross is a bearish signal that contradicts the buy cluster.
▼ If price fails to break above 0.83127, the invalidation level is the nearest support at 0.81916—a break below would confirm the downtrend.
▼ Weak signal strength and low trend scores on 8H+ timeframes suggest the bounce could fade quickly.