USD/JPY – 4H – BUY

BUY NEW

2026-10-30 01:00 UTC 16 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.04 %

Entry

157.427

Target

158.603 +0.75 %

closes in profit

Stop

156.075 −0.86 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 0 of 12

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 50 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 513 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 513 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

25 % at target avg +0.43 % 25 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.31 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.31 % 18 % at stop avg −0.48 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: KDJ OS Exit, WILLR OS Exit, STOCHF KD Cross Up +5 more

Trend at entry: in 0 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 31,056 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

55.7 % – first candle

MODERATE Swing

▲ Bullish 67 % (12.81) ▼ Bearish 33 % (6.24)

model score 67.2 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in all 8 timeframes. Target hit 7.9 % vs 18.0 % on average · stopped out 13.3 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 797 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

05:30TodayJPYBoJ Interest Rate Decision●●●Previous 1.3%in 13m
05:30TodayJPYBoJ Outlook Report●●○in 13m
05:30TodayJPYBoJ Monetary Policy Statement●●○in 13m

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (30 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	EMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross	indicator	2.51
▲	KDJ OS Exit	indicator	2.37
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	2.21
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.96
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.85
▼	COPPOCK Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.46
▼	ERI BULL Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.32
▲	CTI OS Entry	indicator	1.29
▲	Bullish Harami	candlestick	1.19
▲	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend	indicator	1.18
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	0.95
▲	High Wave Bullish	candlestick	0.92

Trend Context

15M

DOWNSolid trend

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish signals on 4H are firing, but the higher timeframe trend is bearish, so treat this as a counter-trend move.
Watch the nearest resistance at 158.60300 and support at 156.07500 for confirmation or invalidation.
The mix of bullish and bearish signals means the move is fragile; wait for a close above resistance or a clear shift in higher timeframes.
Momentum indicators (BOP, STOCHF) are turning up, but the EMA death cross and phasor cross down warn of lingering bearish pressure.

The aggregate of signals on the 4H timeframe is pointing to a bullish reversal attempt for USD/JPY, with a moderate probability of 67%. The BOP Zero Cross Up and STOCHF KD Cross Up indicate early momentum shifting in favor of buyers, while the WILLR OS Exit suggests that selling pressure has exhausted its extremes. However, the EMA CROSS 20 50 Death Cross and HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down are bearish signals, creating a mixed picture. The HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend and the CTI OS Entry add weight to the idea that a trend change may be underway, but the higher timeframe trend remains firmly bearish across all timeframes from 15m up to 1d, with the strongest bearishness in the shorter timeframes.

Given the conflicting signals, the key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 158.60300 and support at 156.07500. A break above resistance would confirm the bullish reversal, while a move below support would invalidate it. The bearish alignment across all timeframes is a significant headwind, and the choppy/sideways trend scores in the mid to higher timeframes suggest a lack of clear directional conviction. Traders should treat this as a counter-trend opportunity with moderate confidence, requiring confirmation from price action on the 4H chart.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple momentum indicators (BOP, STOCHF, WILLR) are aligning to suggest buying pressure is building on the 4H timeframe.
▲ The HT TRENDMODE shift to 'trend' indicates the market may be transitioning from choppy conditions to a more directional phase, which could support a breakout.
▲ The CTI OS Entry signal adds a contrarian element, often appearing at turning points after oversold conditions.

Risk Factors

▼ The bearish trend across all timeframes (15m to 1d) is a strong headwind; a counter-trend move may fail without higher timeframe support.
▼ The EMA 20/50 Death Cross and HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down are bearish and could cap upside momentum.
▼ If price fails to break above the 158.60300 resistance and instead breaks below the 156.07500 support, the bullish thesis is invalidated.
▼ The choppy/sideways trend scores in the 2H and higher timeframes indicate a lack of trend strength, which increases the risk of a false signal.