USD/JPY – 1H – BUY

BUY 7× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-10-29 23:00 UTC 4 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.34 %

Entry

157.811

Target

158.127 +0.20 %

closes in profit

Stop

156.649 −0.74 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,483 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,483 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

15 % at target avg +0.37 % 36 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.17 % 12 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Retreat Up, WILLR OS Exit, BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up +7 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,931 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.4 % vs 18.0 % on average · stopped out 16.9 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 534 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

13:15TomorrowUSDADP Nonfarm Employment Change●●●Forecast 64KPrevious 90Kin 16h
13:30TomorrowUSDTrade Balance●●○Forecast -$88.017BPrevious -$105.572Bin 16h
13:30TomorrowUSDImports●●○Previous $420.754Bin 16h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 8× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 8× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (30 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.02
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	1.99
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	1.86
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.82
▲	ERI BULL Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.80
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.72
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	1.72
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.59
▲	TTM TREND Trend Up	indicator	1.45
▼	DX Trend Weak	indicator	1.41
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	1.11
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.03
▼	APO Zero Cross Down	indicator	0.93

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A strong cluster of bullish indicators fired on the 1H chart, suggesting a potential short-term bounce.
The broader trend is bearish across all timeframes, so this is a counter-trend trade with limited upside.
Key levels to watch: resistance at 158.12700 and support at 157.60300.
A break below support would invalidate the bullish signal and likely resume the downtrend.

The USD/JPY 1H signal has fired a cluster of bullish indicators at the 2026-10-30 03:00 UTC candle, including a CCI oversold exit, a WILLR oversold exit, a STOCH KD cross up, an APO zero cross down, and a BOP zero cross up. These together suggest that downside momentum is exhausting and buying pressure is beginning to return, at least on the short-term horizon. The strong signal strength (83% probability) and the multiple confirming signals (BBANDS lower retreat up, HT PHASOR inphase cross up) point to a potential bounce from the lower Bollinger Band, with the nearest resistance at 158.12700 serving as the immediate upside target.

However, the higher-timeframe context is overwhelmingly bearish and choppy, with all timeframes from 15m to 1d showing a bearish or sideways trend with a low trend score (1/5). This indicates that the current bullish signal is likely a counter-trend move within a broader downtrend. The nearest support at 157.60300 is a critical level; a break below this would invalidate the bullish setup and likely resume the larger downtrend. Traders should treat this as a tactical long opportunity with tight risk management, not as a trend reversal signal.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple oversold exits (CCI, WILLR) and a bullish STOCH cross indicate momentum is turning up.
▲ The APO zero cross down and BOP zero cross up show a shift in buying pressure.
▲ The bullish signal is firing from the lower Bollinger Band, a common reversal area.
▲ The signal has strong probability (83%) and high strength, adding confidence to the setup.

Risk Factors

▼ The higher timeframes (1H to 1D) are all bearish, suggesting the bounce may be short-lived.
▼ The trend is choppy/sideways with a low trend score (1/5), increasing the risk of false signals.
▼ A break below the nearest support at 157.60300 would invalidate the bullish setup.
▼ The nearest resistance at 158.12700 is relatively close, limiting upside potential.