USD/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY NEW
21 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.05 %
Entry
157.586
Target
158.127 +0.34 %
closes in profit
Stop
156.649 −0.59 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,581 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,581 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.10 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.36 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: HMA Break Up, T3 Break Up, ALMA Break Up +10 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 31,056 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
59.3 % – first candle
VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +4% Scalping
▲ Bullish 90 % (28.12) ▼ Bearish 10 % (3.09)
model score 90.1 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 8.8 % vs 18.0 % on average · stopped out 16.7 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 486 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
USD/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar
  • TodayJPYBoJ Press Conference●●●in 38m
  • TodayUSDEmployment Cost Index q/q●●○Forecast 0.8%Previous 0.9%in 6h
  • TodayUSDMNI Chicago Business Barometer●●○Forecast 61.3Previous 58.8in 7h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (30 Oct 2026, 05:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ HMA Break Up indicator 2.62
▲ T3 Break Up indicator 2.53
▲ ALMA Break Up indicator 2.39
▲ SAR Flip Bullish indicator 2.37
▲ Fibonacci Break UpTrend (24%)break + retest fibonacci 2.25
▲ CTI OS Exit indicator 2.15
▲ AO Saucer Bullish indicator 2.04
▲ CCI Zero Cross Up indicator 2.03
▲ STOCH KD Cross Up indicator 1.81
▲ KELTNER MID Cross Up indicator 1.80
▲ ERI BULL Zero Cross Up indicator 1.79
▲ TSI Signal Cross Up indicator 1.75
▼ DX Trend Weak indicator 1.68
▲ HMA Direction Up indicator 1.60
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.41

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A very strong bullish signal cluster on the 30-minute chart suggests a short-term buying opportunity.
  • The bullish case is supported by a dense confluence of momentum and trend indicators.
  • Higher timeframes are bearish, so this is a counter-trend trade with limited upside unless resistance breaks.
  • Watch the nearest support at 157.58400 — a break below would invalidate the bullish setup.
The USD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, led by a CCI Zero Cross Up, a T3 Break Up, and an AO Saucer Bullish, alongside a SAR Flip Bullish and a STOCH KD Cross Up. This broad alignment of momentum and trend indicators suggests a strong short-term buying impulse, with the signal strength rated very strong and a high probability of continuation. The nearest support at 157.58400 is the immediate pivot for the bullish case, while the nearest resistance at 158.12700 represents the first upside target.

However, the higher timeframes remain bearish and mostly choppy, with the 15-minute chart the only timeframe showing a bullish trend. This creates a clear conflict: the 30-minute signal is a counter-trend move against the broader bearish structure. For the trade to work, the price must hold above support and push through resistance, flipping the higher timeframes to bullish. If the 30-minute momentum fades and price loses the support level, the bullish setup would be invalidated, and the bearish trend would likely resume.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple indicators (CCI, T3, AO, SAR, STOCH) all align in the bullish direction, indicating strong momentum confluence.
  • ▲ The signal strength is rated very strong with a 90% probability, suggesting high reliability.
  • ▲ The 15-minute timeframe is bullish, providing a lower-timeframe trend alignment.
  • ▲ Fibonacci levels may be providing additional support, reinforcing the bullish case.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframes (30m and above) are bearish, so the bullish signal is counter-trend and may face resistance.
  • ▼ The 30-minute trend is still bearish, meaning the bullish signal could be a temporary bounce.
  • ▼ The nearest resistance at 158.12700 is a key hurdle; failure to break it could lead to a reversal.
  • ▼ If support at 157.58400 is lost, the bullish setup is invalidated and the bearish trend likely resumes.
Symbol USD/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 90%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-10-30 05:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 158.12700 2026-10-29
R2 158.33600 2026-10-28
S1 157.58400 2026-10-27
S2 156.64900 2026-10-26
S3 156.31100 2026-10-23

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