BTC/USDT – 12H – BUY

BUY 2× UPDATED

2026-10-31 00:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.62 %

Entry

77,618.97

Target

84,898.00 +9.38 %

closes in profit

Stop

74,967.97 −3.42 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price · now candle 2 of 9

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 crypto 12h signals ended in profit · on average −0.02 % per trade 696 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 696 closed crypto 12h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

24 % at target avg +5.15 % 27 % holding time ended, in profit avg +3.85 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −3.87 % 17 % at stop avg −6.14 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 10 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 24 of 100 across all crypto 12h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: SMA 200 Retreat Up, BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up, AROON Strong Uptrend +6 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 32,805 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

67.1 % ↑ +13.2 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG Position

▲ Bullish 100 % (9.78) ▼ Bearish 0 % (0.00)

model score 100.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 21.3 % vs 32.2 % on average · stopped out 26.9 % vs 22.7 % (crypto, 2,851 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for BTC/USDT

Full calendar

15:00TomorrowUSDISM Manufacturing Prices Paid●●●Forecast 80.7Previous 77.9in 15h
15:00TomorrowUSDISM Manufacturing PMI●●●Forecast 54.7Previous 54.5in 15h
15:00November 3, 2026USDJOLTS Job Openings●●●Forecast 6.779MPrevious 7.079Min 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Holding up. Conviction has not dropped below the halfway mark since entry.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (31 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	SMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	2.19
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	2.04
▲	AROON Strong Uptrend	indicator	1.76
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.59
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	1.56
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.51
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.40
▼	HT SINE Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.32
▲	RSX OS Entry	indicator	1.07
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	0.90

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

12H chart shows a very strong bullish signal cluster (AROON, BOP, STOCH, WILLR, BBANDS, SMA 200, HT sine, RSX) with 92% probability.
Higher timeframes (2H to 1D) are still bearish, so treat this as a potential counter-trend bounce until daily structure flips.
Key resistance at 84898 and support at 74967 define the range; a break of support invalidates the bullish setup.
Momentum indicators are turning up from oversold levels, suggesting buyers are stepping in after a washout.

The 12H timeframe has fired a dense cluster of bullish signals, led by an AROON strong uptrend and a BOP zero cross up, indicating buyers are regaining control of momentum. The STOCH KD cross up, WILLR exiting oversold, and RSX oversold entry all point to a fresh upside push from a washed-out state. Price retreating up from the lower Bollinger Band and reclaiming the SMA 200 adds confluence, while the HT sine zero cross down suggests the longer-term cycle is bottoming. With probability at 92% and very strong strength, the setup argues for a continuation higher toward the nearest resistance at 84898.

However, the higher timeframes (2H through 1D) remain bearish, with only 15m to 1h showing early bullish formation. This creates a conflicting picture: the 12H signal is firing against the dominant daily downtrend, so the move may be a corrective bounce rather than a full reversal. The nearest support at 74967 is the key level to hold; a break below would invalidate the bullish thesis. Traders should watch whether price can sustain above the SMA 200 and push through the resistance with volume, as the bearish higher timeframes could cap upside.

Catalysts

▲ Strong confluence of multiple bullish signals on the 12H timeframe.
▲ Price reclaiming the SMA 200 and retreating up from the lower Bollinger Band.
▲ Oscillators (STOCH, WILLR, RSX) exiting oversold conditions, supporting upside momentum.
▲ AROON strong uptrend confirms trend strength in the signal timeframe.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (2H to 1D) remain bearish, which could cap upside or trigger a reversal.
▼ A break below nearest support at 74967 would invalidate the bullish signal.
▼ Momentum may fade if price fails to push through resistance at 84898.
▼ The signal is a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend, increasing the risk of a false breakout.