AVAX/USDT – 12H – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED

2026-11-01 12:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +3.86 %

Entry

8.6970

Target

7.1690 +17.57 %

closes in profit

Stop

11.7300 −34.87 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price · now candle 2 of 9

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 crypto 12h signals ended in profit · on average −0.03 % per trade 700 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 700 closed crypto 12h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

24 % at target avg +5.13 % 27 % holding time ended, in profit avg +3.85 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −3.87 % 17 % at stop avg −6.09 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 40 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 24 of 100 across all crypto 12h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, SMA Retreat Down, EMA Retreat Down +10 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,308 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

67.1 % – vs previous candle

VERY STRONG Position

▲ Bullish 9 % (1.52) ▼ Bearish 91 % (15.97)

model score 91.3 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for AVAX/USDT

Full calendar

15:00TodayUSDJOLTS Job Openings●●●Forecast 6.779MPrevious 7.079Min 9h
13:15TomorrowUSDADP Nonfarm Employment Change●●●Forecast 64KPrevious 90Kin 1 day
15:00TomorrowUSDISM Non-Manufacturing Prices Paid●●●Forecast 69.5Previous 74.0in 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Holding up. Conviction has not dropped below the halfway mark since entry.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (2 Nov 2026, 00:02 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	2.04
▼	SMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.00
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.80
▲	CTI OS Exit	indicator	1.75
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.73
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.71
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	1.63
▼	QSTICK Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.30
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.28
▼	CCI Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.17
▼	Bearish Harami	candlestick	0.90
▼	MOM Zero Cross Down	indicator	0.76
▼	ROC Zero Cross Down	indicator	0.76
▼	ROCR Cross Down	indicator	0.76

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A dense cluster of bearish signals on the 12H chart points to strong selling pressure with high probability (89%).
Solid bearish trends on 8H and 12H support the downside, while 4H remains bullish but choppy.
Watch nearest support at 7.16900; a break below would confirm bearish continuation.
Resistance at 11.73000 is the key invalidation level; reclaiming it would negate the bearish setup.

The 12H chart for AVA/XUSDT has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI Zero Cross Down, MOM Zero Cross Down, ROC Zero Cross Down, ROCR Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, EMA Retreat Down, and HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down, alongside additional indicators and candlestick patterns. This confluence across momentum, trend, and volatility oscillators points to strong selling pressure, with an 89% probability and very strong strength. The bearish alignment is reinforced by solid downtrends on the 8H and 12H timeframes (3/5 trend scores), while shorter timeframes (15m, 30m) are beginning to form bearish trends. However, the 4H remains bullish but choppy, and the 1H/2H are bearish but sideways, indicating mixed intraday momentum that could slow immediate downside progress.

Key levels to monitor are nearest resistance at 11.73000 and nearest support at 7.16900. A sustained break below the support would confirm the bearish continuation, while a reclaim of the resistance would invalidate the downside bias. The strong trend scores on the higher timeframes suggest the path of least resistance is lower, but the conflicting 4H bullish bias and choppy lower timeframes warrant caution. Traders should watch for momentum confirmation on the 4H and a clear close below support to align all timeframes bearishly.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of multiple momentum oscillators (BOP, CCI, MOM, ROC, ROCR, STOCHF) all crossing down.
▼ EMA Retreat Down and HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down add trend-following confirmation.
▼ Strong trend scores (3/5) on 8H and 12H align with the bearish direction.
▼ Additional candlestick patterns reinforce the signal strength.

Risk Factors

▲ Conflicting 4H bullish trend could lead to a bounce or sideways consolidation.
▲ Choppy/sideways conditions on 1H and 2H suggest momentum may be fading.
▲ A reclaim of the 11.73000 resistance would invalidate the bearish thesis.
▲ Lower timeframe trends are only forming (2/5), so short-term momentum may be weak.