AVAX/USDT – 4H – BUY

BUY 1× UPDATED

2026-11-01 20:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −3.86 %

Entry

8.6970

Target

9.1620 +5.35 %

closes in profit

Stop

8.0000 −8.01 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 7 of 12

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 55 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average +0.01 % per trade 1,899 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,899 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

32 % at target avg +2.61 % 23 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.78 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.82 % 21 % at stop avg −3.71 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 5 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 32 of 100 across all crypto 4h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: TRIMA Retreat Up, KELTNER MID Cross Up, APO Zero Cross Up +3 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,308 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

38.0 % ↓ −22.1 vs previous candle

WEAK Swing

▲ Bullish 76 % (8.95) ▼ Bearish 24 % (2.86)

model score 10.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 8 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 13.1 % vs 32.1 % on average · stopped out 39.1 % vs 22.7 % (crypto, 2,015 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AVAX/USDT

Full calendar

15:00TodayUSDJOLTS Job Openings●●●Forecast 6.779MPrevious 7.079Min 9h
13:15TomorrowUSDADP Nonfarm Employment Change●●●Forecast 64KPrevious 90Kin 1 day
15:00TomorrowUSDISM Non-Manufacturing Prices Paid●●●Forecast 69.5Previous 74.0in 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 6× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 6× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (2 Nov 2026, 00:02 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	TRIMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.75
▼	HT TRENDMODE Mode to Cycle	indicator	1.45
▲	KELTNER MID Cross Up	indicator	1.42
▲	APO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.32
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.29
▲	CMO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.05
▲	RSI Midline Cross Up	indicator	1.05

Trend Context

15M

DOWNTrend forming

30M

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple 4H indicators have crossed bullish, signaling strong upward momentum on that timeframe.
The broader trend is still bearish across higher timeframes, so this may be a counter-trend move.
Key levels: resistance at 9.16200 and support at 8.00000; watch for a break or rejection.
The signal is very strong (86% probability), but higher timeframe alignment is lacking.

The AVA/USDT 4H signal has fired a cluster of bullish crossovers — APO, BOP, CMO, RSI Midline, and KELTNER MID all crossing above their zero/midlines, joined by a TRIMA Retreat Up and a shift in the HT Trend Mode to Cycle. Together, these indicate a strong shift in momentum and buying pressure on the 4H timeframe, with the probability score at 86% and very strong strength. The key levels to watch are resistance at 9.16200 and support at 8.00000; a break above resistance could extend the bullish move, while holding above support is crucial for the signal to remain valid.

However, the higher timeframe trend is predominantly bearish, with solid downtrends on the 8H and 12H, and only the 4H showing a bullish but choppy/sideways condition. This creates a conflicting picture: the 4H signal suggests a short-term bounce or reversal, but the broader trend is still down. The signal's strength is notable, but traders should be cautious about expecting a sustained reversal without confirmation on higher timeframes. The immediate focus is whether price can push through the 9.16200 resistance; failure to do so could see the bullish momentum fade, and a drop below 8.00000 would invalidate the signal.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of seven bullish crossovers on the 4H timeframe, indicating a strong momentum shift.
▲ RSI Midline Cross Up and CMO Zero Cross Up confirm bullish momentum and buying pressure.
▲ HT Trend Mode switching to Cycle suggests a potential shift from downtrend to a more neutral/bullish phase.
▲ Holding above the 8.00000 support level provides a base for the bullish move.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (8H, 12H) are in solid downtrends, which could overpower the 4H bullish signal.
▼ The 1H and 2H are bearish and choppy, indicating a lack of alignment in the medium term.
▼ If price fails to break the 9.16200 resistance, the bullish momentum may stall and reverse.
▼ A drop below the 8.00000 support would invalidate the bullish setup and could accelerate selling.