AUD/USD – 2H – BUY

BUY NEW
37 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.13 %
Entry
0.70215
Target
0.70680 +0.66 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.69940 −0.39 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 14 candles (28 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 14
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 49 of 100 forex 2h signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 900 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 900 closed forex 2h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
19 % at target avg +0.41 % 30 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.20 % 36 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.22 % 15 % at stop avg −0.44 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: SMA 200 Retreat Up, EMA 200 Retreat Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up +8 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,308 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
61.0 % – first candle
VERY STRONG Intraday
▲ Bullish 92 % (14.79) ▼ Bearish 8 % (1.33)
model score 91.8 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.8 % vs 17.7 % on average · stopped out 15.2 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 673 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
AUD/USD  ·  2H
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDISM Manufacturing Employment●●○Forecast 51.4Previous 52.7in 4h
  • TodayUSDISM Manufacturing Prices Paid●●●Forecast 80.7Previous 77.9in 4h
  • TodayUSDISM Manufacturing PMI●●●Forecast 54.7Previous 54.5in 4h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (2 Nov 2026, 10:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ SMA 200 Retreat Up indicator 1.81
▲ EMA 200 Retreat Up indicator 1.78
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.64
▲ AO Saucer Bullish indicator 1.60
▲ BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up indicator 1.53
▲ ERI BULL Zero Cross Up indicator 1.44
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.40
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.33
▲ CCI OS Exit indicator 1.32
▲ HMA Retreat Up indicator 1.30
▲ Inverted Hammer candlestick 1.23
▲ Bullish Engulfing candlestick 0.79

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
UPChoppy / sideways
1D
UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bullish signal on the 2H chart with multiple momentum and mean-reversion indicators firing together.
  • Price is attempting to bounce from the lower Bollinger Band and key moving averages, suggesting a short-term oversold recovery.
  • Resistance at 0.70680 is the immediate target; support at 0.70144 is the critical level to watch.
  • Mixed trend across timeframes—intermediate bearish bias may limit upside unless resistance is broken.
The AUD/USD 2H signal has fired a dense cluster of bullish momentum and mean-reversion indicators, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, CCI exiting oversold, a STOCHF KD cross up, and bullish retreats from the lower Bollinger Band and both the EMA 200 and SMA 200. The AO Saucer Bullish and an ER level cross down further reinforce the case for upside. With a very strong probability score of 91%, this suggests a high-confluence setup where multiple independent metrics are aligning in the same direction.

However, the trend structure across timeframes is mixed. The 15m, 8h, 12h, and 1d timeframes are bullish, while the 30m through 4h timeframes remain bearish. This divergence means the signal is primarily a counter-trend bounce within a larger bearish phase on the intermediate timeframes. The nearest resistance at 0.70680 is the immediate hurdle; a break above would open the path toward higher levels. Support at 0.70144 is the key invalidation zone—if price loses this, the bullish thesis weakens significantly.
Catalysts
  • ▲ High confluence of indicators: BOP, CCI, STOCHF, Bollinger Bands, EMA 200, SMA 200, AO, and ER all align bullish.
  • ▲ Bullish retreat from the lower Bollinger Band and 200-period moving averages indicates strong buying interest at oversold levels.
  • ▲ Higher timeframes (8h, 12h, 1d) are bullish, providing longer-term tailwinds.
  • ▲ Very strong signal strength (91% probability) suggests robust technical alignment.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Intermediate timeframes (30m–4h) are bearish, which could cap upside or lead to a failed bounce.
  • ▼ A break below support at 0.70144 would invalidate the bullish setup and signal further downside.
  • ▼ If momentum fades near resistance at 0.70680, the bounce may stall and reverse.
  • ▼ Choppy/sideways conditions on several timeframes (15m, 4h, 8h, 12h) could lead to whipsaw.
Symbol AUD/USD
Timeframe 2H
Direction BUY
Conviction 92%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-11-02 08:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.70680 2026-10-29
S1 0.70144 2026-10-29
S2 0.70094 2026-10-27
S3 0.69940 2026-10-22

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