AUD/USD – 30M – BUY

BUY 6× UPDATED CLOSED
2 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.27 %
Entry
0.70234
Target
0.70408 +0.25 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.69888 −0.49 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,949 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,949 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
18 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up, HMA Retreat Up, STOCH KD Cross Up +6 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.4 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 15.5 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 717 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
AUD/USD  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar
  • TomorrowAUDTrade Balance●●○Forecast $1.084BPrevious $0.495Bin 8h
  • TomorrowUSDNonfarm Productivity q/q●●○Forecast 1.9%Previous 1.4%in 21h
  • TomorrowUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 21h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 17 × 30m 6%
conviction per candle 10× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 10× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (2 Nov 2026, 04:00 UTC, updated 6× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up indicator 2.22
▲ HMA Retreat Up indicator 1.76
▲ STOCH KD Cross Up indicator 1.73
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.60
▲ QSTICK Zero Cross Up indicator 1.50
▼ HT SINE Zero Cross Down indicator 1.43
▲ MOM Zero Cross Up indicator 1.41
▲ ROC Zero Cross Up indicator 1.41
▲ ROCR Cross Up indicator 1.41
▼ HT SINE Cross Down indicator 1.41
▲ Bullish Engulfing candlestick 1.07

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
UPChoppy / sideways
1D
UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Momentum indicators (BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR, STOCH) all crossed up, signaling a short-term bullish push.
  • Price retreating from the lower Bollinger Band suggests a potential bounce toward the midline or resistance.
  • Trend is bearish on lower timeframes but bullish on higher timeframes, creating a mixed but potentially favorable setup.
  • Watch 0.70408 resistance for confirmation and 0.70169 support as the invalidation level.
The AUD/USD 30-minute chart has triggered a cluster of bullish momentum signals, including BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR, and STOCH KD cross-ups, alongside a retreat from the lower Bollinger Band. This indicates a short-term upward push in buying pressure and momentum, though the broader trend remains mixed. The 15-minute and 30-minute timeframes are bearish but trend-forming, while higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) show bullish leanings, suggesting a potential shift in sentiment. The immediate resistance at 0.70408 and support at 0.70169 are the key levels to watch; a break above resistance could confirm the bullish reversal, while a loss of support would invalidate the signal.

Despite the strong probability (83%) and strength, the signal appears to be a counter-trend bounce within a larger bearish structure on the lower timeframes. The bearish trend on the 1H and 2H, though weak, may limit upside. However, the bullish bias on higher timeframes provides a favorable backdrop. Traders should monitor whether price can sustain above the recent swing lows and push through resistance, as momentum indicators suggest a short-term bullish correction rather than a full trend reversal.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple momentum oscillators (BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR, STOCH) all crossing up simultaneously, indicating strong buying pressure.
  • ▲ Retreat from the lower Bollinger Band often precedes a bounce, especially when combined with momentum crossovers.
  • ▲ Higher timeframe bullish lean (8H, 12H, 1D) provides a supportive backdrop for a counter-trend rally.
  • ▲ Signal probability of 83% and strong strength suggest high confluence of indicators.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ The 30-minute trend is still bearish, and the signal may be a short-lived bounce within a larger downtrend.
  • ▼ Resistance at 0.70408 is nearby and could cap upside; a failure to break above it would weaken the bullish case.
  • ▼ If price breaks below support at 0.70169, the signal is invalidated and a deeper decline may follow.
  • ▼ The 1H and 2H timeframes are bearish, which could exert downward pressure and limit the rally.
Symbol AUD/USD
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 6%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-11-02 03:30
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.70408 2026-10-30
R2 0.70431 2026-10-30
R3 0.70680 2026-10-29
S1 0.70169 2026-11-02
S2 0.70135 2026-10-30

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