AUD/USD – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW
47 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.02 %
Entry
0.70005
Target
0.69877 +0.18 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.70312 −0.44 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,754 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,754 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: MAMA PRICE Retreat Down, ALMA Retreat Down, TEMA Break Down +17 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,308 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
35.3 % ↓ −25.7 vs previous candle
WEAK Scalping
▲ Bullish 3 % (1.73) ▼ Bearish 97 % (49.79)
model score 0.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 2 candles
AUD/USD  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/USD

Full calendar
  • TomorrowAUDRBA Rate Statement●●○in 8h
  • TomorrowAUDRBA Monetary Policy Statement●●○in 8h
  • TomorrowAUDRBA Interest Rate Decision●●●Previous 4.60%in 8h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (2 Nov 2026, 19:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ MAMA PRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.21
▼ ALMA Retreat Down indicator 2.16
▼ TEMA Break Down indicator 2.12
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 2.11
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 2.10
▼ MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 2.10
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 2.09
▼ MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.09
▼ DEMA Retreat Down indicator 2.07
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 2.05
▼ TSI Signal Cross Down indicator 1.74
▲ STOCHF KD Cross Up indicator 1.73
▼ FISHER Zero Cross Down indicator 1.58
▼ AROON Cross Down indicator 1.49
▼ AROONOSC Zero Cross Down indicator 1.49
▼ MOM Zero Cross Down indicator 1.44
▼ ROC Zero Cross Down indicator 1.44
▼ ROCR Cross Down indicator 1.44
▼ HT SINE Zero Cross Down indicator 1.43
▼ QSTICK Zero Cross Down indicator 1.42
▼ AROON Strong Downtrend indicator 1.35

Trend Context

15M
DOWNTrend forming
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
UPChoppy / sideways
1D
UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish momentum on the 30-minute chart, with multiple Aroon and momentum indicators aligning.
  • Nearest support at 0.69992 is the target; a break below could accelerate selling.
  • Resistance at 0.70312 is the invalidation level; reclaiming it would negate the bearish setup.
  • Higher timeframes are mixed, so treat this as a short-term bearish move within a larger bullish context.
The AUD/USD 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish momentum signals, led by AROON Cross Down and AROON Strong Downtrend, alongside zero-line crosses in MOM, ROC, and ROCR. This indicates a decisive shift in short-term momentum, with sellers in control. The DEMA Retreat Down adds a trend-retracement element, suggesting that any bounce is being sold into. The confluence of these indicators points to a continuation of the bearish move toward the nearest support at 0.69992.

Across timeframes, the trend is consistently bearish from the 15-minute up to the 2-hour, though trend scores are low (2/5), indicating the trend is still forming rather than fully established. The 4-hour and 8-hour are bearish but choppy, while the 12-hour and daily are bullish but also choppy. This mixed higher-timeframe picture suggests that the bearish momentum is a corrective move within a larger bullish structure. Traders should watch the resistance at 0.70312 as a key invalidation level; a break above would negate the bearish signal. The high probability (96%) and very strong strength underscore the conviction, but the low trend scores warrant caution.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Confluence of multiple momentum oscillators (MOM, ROC, ROCR) crossing zero down.
  • ▼ Aroon indicators confirm a strong downtrend, adding weight to the signal.
  • ▼ Trend alignment across 15m to 2h timeframes supports continued downside.
  • ▼ High probability (96%) and very strong strength indicate robust signal conviction.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Higher timeframes (12h, daily) are bullish, which could limit downside or trigger a reversal.
  • ▲ Trend scores are low (2/5) across most timeframes, suggesting the trend is not yet fully established.
  • ▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 0.70312 would invalidate the bearish thesis.
  • ▲ Choppy conditions on 4h and 8h could lead to false breakouts or whipsaws.
Symbol AUD/USD
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 0%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-11-02 19:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.70312 2026-11-02
R2 0.70408 2026-10-30
R3 0.70431 2026-10-30
S1 0.69992 2026-11-02

Tags

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