AVAX/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED

2026-11-02 09:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.49 %

Entry

8.5970

Target

8.5240 +0.85 %

closes in profit

Stop

8.7400 −1.66 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 54 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 12,961 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 12,961 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

33 % at target avg +1.11 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.09 % 22 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.10 % 24 % at stop avg −1.45 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 65 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 33 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPRICE Retreat Down, MIDPOINT Retreat Down, SMA Retreat Down +8 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,308 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

67.1 % – vs previous candle

STRONG ⚡ Confluence +1% Scalping

▲ Bullish 7 % (2.49) ▼ Bearish 93 % (33.21)

model score 93.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for AVAX/USDT

Full calendar

15:00TodayUSDISM Manufacturing Prices Paid●●●Forecast 80.7Previous 77.9in 4h
15:00TodayUSDISM Manufacturing PMI●●●Forecast 54.7Previous 54.5in 4h
15:00TomorrowUSDJOLTS Job Openings●●●Forecast 6.779MPrevious 7.079Min 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Weakening. Conviction is lower than at entry — worth watching, no action implied.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (2 Nov 2026, 09:32 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	MIDPRICE Retreat Down	indicator	2.35
▼	MIDPOINT Retreat Down	indicator	2.27
▼	SMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.18
▼	EMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.09
▼	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down	indicator	2.05
▼	MA Retreat Down	indicator	2.02
▼	KAMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.82
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.63
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.58
▼	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Down	indicator	1.49
▼	Bearish Harami	candlestick	0.99

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish confluence: multiple indicators align for a sell signal.
Higher timeframes (8H, 12H) show solid downtrends; lower timeframes are choppy.
Watch support at 8.57600; a break could extend the decline.
Resistance at 8.74000 is the key level to invalidate the bearish case.

The AVA/USDT 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, and multiple retreat-based indicators (EMA, KAMA, MA, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE) alongside a trendline retreat on the higher timeframe. This confluence indicates strong selling pressure at the current levels, with the probability score at 100% and very strong strength. The bearish alignment is supported across most timeframes, with the 8H and 12H charts showing a solid downtrend (3/5), while the 1D is forming a bearish trend (2/5). However, the shorter timeframes (15M to 4H) are choppy and sideways, suggesting that while the broader trend is down, immediate momentum may be erratic.

Key levels to monitor are the nearest resistance at 8.74000 and support at 8.57600. A break below support could accelerate the decline, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup. The trend scores indicate a consistent bearish bias across higher timeframes, but the choppiness on lower timeframes warrants caution. Traders should watch for a decisive move below support to confirm the continuation, and for any reversal signals near resistance that could signal a false breakdown.

Catalysts

▼ High probability (100%) and very strong strength signal.
▼ Confluence of multiple retreat signals (EMA, KAMA, MA, MIDPOINT, MIDPRICE) and trendline retreat.
▼ Bearish alignment across 30M, 1H, 2H, 4H, 8H, 12H, and 1D timeframes.
▼ Solid trend scores on higher timeframes (3/5 on 8H and 12H).

Risk Factors

▲ Choppy/sideways conditions on lower timeframes (15M-4H) could lead to false signals.
▲ A break above resistance at 8.74000 would invalidate the bearish outlook.
▲ Trend strength is moderate (2/5) on the daily chart, indicating the bearish trend is still forming.
▲ Momentum indicators (STOCHF) may be oversold, risking a short-term bounce.