EUR/USD – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW
1 hour ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.13 %
Entry
1.11786
Target
1.11477 +0.28 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.12060 −0.25 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 2 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,720 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,720 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%), HMA Retreat Down, ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Retreat +7 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 32,805 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
35.3 % – vs previous candle
WEAK Scalping
▲ Bullish 37 % (9.50) ▼ Bearish 63 % (15.94)
model score 0.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 3 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.8 % vs 17.7 % on average · stopped out 15.2 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 673 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
EUR/USD  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/USD

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDISM Manufacturing Employment●●○Forecast 51.4Previous 52.7in 7h
  • TodayUSDISM Manufacturing Prices Paid●●●Forecast 80.7Previous 77.9in 7h
  • TodayUSDISM Manufacturing PMI●●●Forecast 54.7Previous 54.5in 7h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 30m 0%
conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (2 Nov 2026, 06:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ ULTOSC OB Exit indicator 2.42
▲ WILLR OB Exit indicator 2.28
▲ STOCH OB Exit indicator 2.01
▼ Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest fibonacci 1.87
▼ HMA Retreat Down indicator 1.80
▼ ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Retreat indicator 1.71
▼ ZSCORE Extreme High Exit indicator 1.60
▼ STOCHRSI KD Cross Down indicator 1.46
▲ KST Zero Cross Up indicator 1.43
▼ DX Trend Weak indicator 1.41
▼ ER Level Cross Down indicator 1.39
▼ KDJ Cross Down indicator 1.39
▲ HT TRENDMODE Mode to Trend indicator 1.36
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.35
▼ Bearish Engulfing candlestick 0.89

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Multiple oscillators (STOCH, STOCHRSI, ULTOSC, WILLR) are exiting overbought, signaling a potential downward move.
  • The daily trend is strongly bearish, supporting the sell bias, but the 30-minute trend is still bullish and choppy, so the signal may be counter-trend.
  • Watch the nearest support at 1.11477; a break below could accelerate selling, while resistance at 1.12060 is the key invalidation level.
  • The signal strength is weak, so expect limited follow-through unless higher timeframe bearishness takes over.
The EUR/USD 30-minute chart has triggered a cluster of bearish signals, including BOP Zero Cross Down, STOCH OB Exit, STOCHRSI KD Cross Down, ULTOSC OB Exit, and WILLR OB Exit, all indicating that momentum is turning lower after an overbought condition. The HT TRENDMODE shift to trend and ER Level Cross Down further confirm the bearish bias. However, the signal strength is weak, and the 30-minute timeframe itself is still bullish but choppy, which suggests that the sell signal may be a counter-trend move within a larger bullish correction.

Across timeframes, the picture is mixed: the 15-minute and 8-hour charts are bullish, while the 2-hour, 4-hour, 12-hour, and daily charts are bearish, with the daily showing a very strong downtrend. This alignment favors the bearish case on the higher timeframes, but the conflicting bullish shorter timeframes could limit downside momentum. Key levels to watch are resistance at 1.12060 and support at 1.11477; a break below support would strengthen the bearish outlook, while a move above resistance would invalidate it.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Strong bearish trend on the daily timeframe (trend score 4/5) aligns with the sell signal.
  • ▼ Multiple overbought exit signals from various oscillators provide confluence for a downward move.
  • ▼ HT TRENDMODE shift to trend and ER Level Cross Down confirm a momentum shift to bearish.
  • ▼ Fibonacci and candlestick signals add additional confluence to the bearish case.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The 30-minute and 15-minute timeframes are still bullish, which could lead to a bounce or stall the sell-off.
  • ▲ The signal strength is weak, indicating that the momentum may not be strong enough to push through support.
  • ▲ If price breaks above the nearest resistance at 1.12060, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
  • ▲ The choppy/sideways conditions on several timeframes (30m, 1h, 8h) could lead to false breakouts.
Symbol EUR/USD
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 0%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-11-02 06:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.12060 2026-10-30
R2 1.12148 2026-10-30
R3 1.12267 2026-10-26
S1 1.11477 2026-11-02
S2 1.11365 2026-10-30
S3 1.11044 2026-10-29

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