NZD/USD – 1H – SELL

SELL 7× UPDATED CLOSED
2 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.25 %
Entry
0.56112
Target
0.55706 +0.72 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.56516 −0.72 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,527 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,527 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
16 % at target avg +0.36 % 35 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.17 % 12 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout, BBANDS LOWER Break Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down +12 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
NZD/USD  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Events for NZD/USD

Full calendar
  • TomorrowUSDUnit Labor Costs q/q●●○Forecast 0.5%Previous 1.2%in 21h
  • TomorrowUSDNonfarm Productivity q/q●●○Forecast 1.9%Previous 1.4%in 21h
  • TomorrowUSDContinuing Jobless Claims●●○in 21h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 16 × 1h 97%
conviction per candle 8× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 8× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (2 Nov 2026, 03:00 UTC, updated 7× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ KELTNER LOWER Lower Breakout indicator 3.18
▼ BBANDS LOWER Break Down indicator 2.80
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 2.65
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 2.51
▼ T3 Break Down indicator 2.48
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 2.44
▼ ALMA Break Down indicator 2.34
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 2.32
▼ MIDPOINT Retreat Down indicator 2.31
▼ MIDPRICE Retreat Down indicator 2.29
▼ DEMA Retreat Down indicator 2.28
▼ MACD Hist Regular Bear Div divergence 2.27
▼ KST Zero Cross Down indicator 1.54
▼ AROON Strong Downtrend indicator 1.49
▲ ZSCORE Extreme Low indicator 1.13
▼ Long Line Bearish candlestick 1.11

Trend Context

15M
DOWNSolid trend
30M
DOWNTrend forming
1H
DOWNTrend forming
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Bearish momentum is strong on the 1H chart with multiple moving averages and the Aroon indicator all pointing down.
  • The break below the Bollinger lower band adds conviction to the sell signal.
  • All timeframes are bearish, with the 15m, 4h, and daily showing solid trend strength.
  • Watch the 0.56516 resistance as a potential reversal zone and 0.56068 support as the first target.
The NZD/USD 1H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, with an Aroon Strong Downtrend confirmed by a break below the Bollinger Bands lower band. The simultaneous retreat of multiple moving averages (EMA, DEMA, KAMA, MA, and midpoint) underscores the momentum shift to the downside, while the HT Trendline retreat adds a structural element to the bearish case. The signal groups span indicators, divergence, and candlesticks, suggesting a broad-based confluence rather than a single isolated trigger.

Across timeframes, the bias is uniformly bearish, with solid trend scores on the 15-minute, 4-hour, and daily charts, and trend-forming scores on the intermediate timeframes. This alignment supports the continuation of the move. The nearest resistance at 0.56516 acts as the immediate barrier for any bounce, while the nearest support at 0.56068 is the first downside target. A break below this level could open further downside, but the immediate focus remains on the reaction at these levels.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Strong alignment of bearish signals across multiple indicator groups (trend, volatility, and divergence).
  • ▼ Uniform bearish trend across all timeframes, with solid scores on key timeframes.
  • ▼ The HT Trendline retreat adds a structural confirmation to the downside move.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ A bounce off the 0.56068 support could invalidate the immediate bearish outlook, especially if the level holds.
  • ▲ The 1H trend is only 'forming' (2/5), so momentum may not yet be fully established; a consolidation could occur.
  • ▲ If price reclaims the 0.56516 resistance, the sell signal weakens and a retest of higher levels becomes possible.
Symbol NZD/USD
Timeframe 1H
Direction SELL
Conviction 97%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-11-02 02:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.56516 2026-10-30
R2 0.57076 2026-10-27
R3 0.57104 2026-10-22
S1 0.56068 2026-10-29
S2 0.55706 2026-10-28

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