NZD/USD – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-11-02 09:30 UTC 38 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.19 %

Entry

0.56346

Target

0.56086 +0.46 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.56516 −0.30 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,754 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 2,754 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

17 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ER Level Cross Down, HMA Retreat Down, STOCH KD Cross Down +5 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,308 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

59.3 % ↑ +3.6 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG Scalping

▲ Bullish 13 % (3.61) ▼ Bearish 87 % (24.34)

model score 87.1 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.8 % vs 17.7 % on average · stopped out 15.2 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 673 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for NZD/USD

Full calendar

15:00TodayUSDISM Manufacturing Employment●●○Forecast 51.4Previous 52.7in 4h
15:00TodayUSDISM Manufacturing Prices Paid●●●Forecast 80.7Previous 77.9in 4h
15:00TodayUSDISM Manufacturing PMI●●●Forecast 54.7Previous 54.5in 4h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (2 Nov 2026, 10:00 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	WILLR OB Exit	indicator	2.09
▲	KDJ OB Exit	indicator	1.79
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.68
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.62
▲	APO Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.48
▼	STOCH KD Cross Down	indicator	1.48
▲	HT SINE Cross Up	indicator	1.48
▼	KELTNER UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.47
▼	ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Retreat	indicator	1.43
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.41
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	0.95
▼	Belt Hold Bearish	candlestick	0.95

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPTrend forming

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Multiple bearish signals on the 30-minute chart suggest a potential short-term decline.
Higher timeframes (4H and above) are bearish, supporting the sell signal, but lower timeframes are bullish, creating mixed signals.
Watch the support at 0.56086 and resistance at 0.56516 for confirmation or invalidation.
Strength is moderate and probability is 65%, so consider risk management.

The NZD/USD 30-minute chart has triggered a cluster of bearish signals, including an APO Zero Cross Up and BOP Zero Cross Down, alongside STOCH KD Cross Down, WILLR OB Exit, HT SINE Cross Up, ER Level Cross Down, KDJ OB Exit, and HMA Retreat Down. This combination indicates that momentum is shifting from bullish to bearish in the short term, with multiple oscillators exiting overbought conditions and trend-following indicators turning down. The confluence of these signals suggests a potential downward move, but the moderate strength and 65% probability call for caution.

Across timeframes, the trend is mixed: the 15-minute to 2-hour charts are bullish, while the 4-hour and higher timeframes are bearish, with the daily chart showing a solid downtrend. This divergence implies that the bearish signal on the 30-minute chart may be a counter-trend move against the shorter-term bullish bias, but aligns with the longer-term bearish outlook. Key levels to watch are resistance at 0.56516 and support at 0.56086; a break below support could confirm the bearish move, while a rally above resistance would invalidate it.

Catalysts

▼ Alignment of several oscillators (STOCH, KDJ, WILLR) exiting overbought conditions.
▼ Trend scores on higher timeframes (4H to 1D) are bearish, providing a longer-term backdrop.
▼ Multiple signal groups (indicator and candlestick) firing together increases confidence.
▼ HMA retreat down and ER level cross down indicate momentum is turning lower.

Risk Factors

▲ Shorter timeframes (15M to 2H) are still bullish, which could limit downside or cause a bounce.
▲ The signal is moderate strength with only 65% probability, leaving room for failure.
▲ If price breaks above resistance at 0.56516, the bearish setup is invalidated.
▲ Momentum may fade if the APO zero cross up is not followed by sustained selling.