NZD/USD – 4H – BUY

BUY NEW

2026-11-02 06:00 UTC 37 minutes ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.19 %

Entry

0.56346

Target

0.57076 +1.30 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.55706 −1.14 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 0 of 12

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 50 of 100 forex 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 546 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 546 closed forex 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

25 % at target avg +0.43 % 26 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.30 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.31 % 17 % at stop avg −0.47 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: ERI BULL Zero Cross Up, SMI Signal Cross Up, CCI OS Exit +6 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,308 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

55.7 % – first candle

MODERATE Swing

▲ Bullish 65 % (7.97) ▼ Bearish 35 % (4.30)

model score 65.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.8 % vs 17.7 % on average · stopped out 15.2 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 673 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for NZD/USD

Full calendar

15:00TodayUSDISM Manufacturing Employment●●○Forecast 51.4Previous 52.7in 4h
15:00TodayUSDISM Manufacturing Prices Paid●●●Forecast 80.7Previous 77.9in 4h
15:00TodayUSDISM Manufacturing PMI●●●Forecast 54.7Previous 54.5in 4h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (2 Nov 2026, 10:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	FISHER Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.70
▲	ERI BULL Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.33
▼	DX Trend Weak	indicator	1.32
▲	SMI Signal Cross Up	indicator	1.31
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	1.30
▼	CHOP Choppy	indicator	1.28
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.23
▲	TTM TREND Trend Up	indicator	1.04
▲	VORTEX Cross Up	indicator	1.00
▲	BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up	indicator	0.95
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	0.90
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	0.78

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPTrend forming

DOWNTrend forming

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish momentum signals are firing on the 4H chart, but the higher timeframe trend is still bearish.
Watch the nearest resistance at 0.57076; a break above could open the door for further upside.
Support at 0.55706 is the key level to hold; losing it would invalidate the bullish signal.
The moderate strength suggests a bounce, not a full trend reversal, so manage expectations.

The NZD/USD 4H signal has fired a cluster of bullish momentum indicators, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, CCI OS Exit, STOCH KD Cross Up, and BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Up, suggesting that buying pressure is building after a period of oversold conditions. The ERI BULL Zero Cross Up and SMI Signal Cross Up add to the view that downside momentum is waning, while the DX Trend Weak indicates a lack of strong trend, which can often precede a reversal. However, the higher timeframes (4H to 1D) remain bearish, so this signal is best seen as a counter-trend bounce within a larger downtrend.

Key levels to watch are resistance at 0.57076 and support at 0.55706. A break above resistance could signal a stronger reversal, while a loss of support would invalidate the bullish case. The moderate strength and 65% probability suggest the move may be limited, and traders should wait for confirmation on higher timeframes before committing to a larger position.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple bullish indicators aligned on the 4H timeframe, including BOP, CCI, and STOCH.
▲ Oversold conditions (CCI OS Exit) and a weak trend (DX) can set up a reversal.
▲ Short-term timeframes (15m to 2h) are already bullish, supporting the bounce.
▲ The ERI and SMI cross-ups confirm improving momentum.

Risk Factors

▼ Higher timeframes (4H to 1D) remain bearish, which could cap upside.
▼ The signal is counter-trend, so a break below support at 0.55706 would invalidate it.
▼ Momentum may fade if price fails to break resistance at 0.57076.
▼ The moderate strength and 65% probability suggest limited conviction.