USD/CAD – 1H – SELL

SELL NEW
35 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.05 %
Entry
1.39672
Target
1.39195 +0.34 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.40148 −0.34 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 15
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,417 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,417 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
15 % at target avg +0.37 % 36 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.17 % 12 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: Descending Triangle, KAMA Retreat Down, EMA 50 Retreat Down +15 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 32,805 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
61.0 % – first candle
VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +60% Intraday
▲ Bullish 7 % (5.07) ▼ Bearish 93 % (66.24)
model score 92.9 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
USD/CAD  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Events for USD/CAD

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDISM Manufacturing Employment●●○Forecast 51.4Previous 52.7in 13h
  • TodayUSDISM Manufacturing Prices Paid●●●Forecast 80.7Previous 77.9in 13h
  • TodayUSDISM Manufacturing PMI●●●Forecast 54.7Previous 54.5in 13h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (2 Nov 2026, 01:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ Descending Trianglebreak + retest chart_pattern 3.60
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 2.38
▼ EMA 50 Retreat Down indicator 2.31
▼ SMA 200 Retreat Down indicator 2.15
▼ HMA Retreat Down indicator 2.02
▲ COPPOCK Zero Cross Up indicator 1.80
▼ DI CROSS Cross Down indicator 1.78
▲ CCI OB Exit indicator 1.68
▼ STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.63
▲ HT SINE Cross Up indicator 1.59
▼ DM CROSS Cross Down indicator 1.57
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.56
▼ MOM Zero Cross Down indicator 1.53
▼ ROC Zero Cross Down indicator 1.53
▼ ROCR Cross Down indicator 1.53
▼ CMO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.41
▼ RSI Midline Cross Down indicator 1.41
▼ ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down indicator 1.39
▼ ADX Trend Weak indicator 1.29
▼ HMA Direction Down indicator 1.16
▼ Bearish Engulfing candlestick 1.11

Trend Context

15M
UPChoppy / sideways
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNTrend forming
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A dense cluster of bearish signals fired on the 1H, led by a Descending Triangle breakdown.
  • Multi-timeframe alignment supports the bearish case: 2H and 1D are in solid downtrends, with 4H-12H all bearish.
  • Key resistance to watch is 1.40148; a break below the triangle's low could open further downside.
  • Short-term timeframes (15m-30m) are choppy and bullish, so expect possible pullbacks before continuation.
The USD/CAD 1H chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Descending Triangle breakdown and reinforced by a wave of momentum and trend indicators all crossing to the downside (BOP, CMO, DI, DM, MOM). The ADX shows weak trend strength on the 1H, but the broader picture is more convincing: the 2H and 1D timeframes are in solid bearish trends, while 4H through 12H are all bearish and forming. This multi-timeframe alignment suggests the current 1H weakness is part of a larger downtrend, not just a short-term flush.

Immediate resistance sits at 1.40148, a level that previously acted as support and now flips to resistance. With no nearest support defined, the path of least resistance is lower, but traders should watch for a potential retest of the broken triangle or the 1.40148 level before continuation. The high probability (92%) and very strong signal strength reflect the confluence of patterns and indicators, but the weak ADX on the 1H and the choppy higher timeframes (15m-1H) warrant caution against overleveraging.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Descending Triangle breakdown on the 1H, a classic bearish continuation pattern.
  • ▼ Strong confluence of momentum and trend indicators all crossing down (BOP, CMO, DI, DM, MOM).
  • ▼ Higher timeframes (2H and 1D) are in solid bearish trends, aligning with the 1H signal.
  • ▼ Very strong signal strength and 92% probability reflect high conviction in the setup.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ ADX on the 1H shows weak trend strength, which could mean the current move lacks momentum.
  • ▲ 15m and 30m timeframes are bullish and choppy, which could lead to a short-term bounce against the signal.
  • ▲ Resistance at 1.40148 is nearby; a reclaim of this level would invalidate the bearish setup.
  • ▲ No defined support below means the downside target is unclear, increasing uncertainty.
Symbol USD/CAD
Timeframe 1H
Direction SELL
Conviction 93%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-11-02 00:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.40148 2026-10-29
R2 1.40686 2026-10-28
R3 1.40821 2026-10-21

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