USD/JPY – 1H – BUY

BUY NEW
38 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.03 %
Entry
157.945
Target
158.336 +0.25 %
closes in profit
Stop
156.962 −0.62 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 0 of 15
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,436 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 1,436 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
15 % at target avg +0.37 % 36 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.17 % 12 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up, KAMA Retreat Up, MA Retreat Up +12 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,308 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
61.0 % – first candle
VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +2% Intraday
▲ Bullish 96 % (31.58) ▼ Bearish 4 % (1.19)
model score 96.4 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.4 % vs 17.7 % on average · stopped out 15.4 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 669 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
USD/JPY  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDISM Manufacturing Employment●●○Forecast 51.4Previous 52.7in 4h
  • TodayUSDISM Manufacturing Prices Paid●●●Forecast 80.7Previous 77.9in 4h
  • TodayUSDISM Manufacturing PMI●●●Forecast 54.7Previous 54.5in 4h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (2 Nov 2026, 10:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up indicator 2.42
▲ KAMA Retreat Up indicator 2.39
▲ MA Retreat Up indicator 2.32
▲ SMA Retreat Up indicator 2.31
▲ ICHIMOKU Cloud Bullish indicator 2.25
▲ CCI Zero Cross Up indicator 1.88
▲ STOCH KD Cross Up indicator 1.82
▲ KELTNER MID Cross Up indicator 1.78
▲ BOP Zero Cross Up indicator 1.72
▲ DI CROSS Cross Up indicator 1.48
▲ HMA Direction Up indicator 1.48
▲ TTM TREND Trend Up indicator 1.43
▲ DM CROSS Cross Up indicator 1.31
▼ WILLR OB Entry indicator 1.19
▲ Bullish Engulfing candlestick 1.11
▲ Closing Marubozu Bullish candlestick 1.04

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bullish signal on 1H with multiple momentum indicators crossing up.
  • Price is above dynamic support from the HT TRENDLINE and KAMA, supporting the bullish case.
  • Higher timeframes are bearish but weak, so the trend is not fully aligned.
  • Watch 158.12700 resistance; a break could extend gains, while a rejection may lead to a pullback.
The USD/JPY 1H signal is overwhelmingly bullish, with a 96% probability and very strong strength, driven by a confluence of momentum and trend indicators. The BOP, CCI, DI, DM, STOCH, and WILLR all crossed upward from oversold or neutral territory, indicating fresh buying pressure. The HT TRENDLINE and KAMA retreats up suggest that price has pulled back to dynamic support and is resuming the uptrend. This cluster of signals points to a continuation of the recent bullish move on the 1H timeframe.

However, the broader picture is mixed. While the 15m and 30m timeframes are bullish, the 2H through 1D timeframes are bearish, albeit with weak trend scores (1/5) indicating choppy/sideways conditions. This means the higher timeframes are not strongly aligned with the 1H bullish signal, which could limit upside potential. The nearest resistance at 158.12700 is a key level to watch; a break above would confirm the bullish momentum, while a failure could lead to a pullback toward support at 156.96200. Traders should monitor these levels closely.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Confluence of multiple bullish indicator crosses (BOP, CCI, DI, DM, STOCH, WILLR) on the 1H.
  • ▲ Pullback to HT TRENDLINE and KAMA support, with price retreating up from these levels.
  • ▲ Bullish trend on 15m and 30m timeframes, supporting the 1H signal.
  • ▲ Very strong signal strength (96% probability) and high number of signals fired.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframes (2H to 1D) are bearish, which could weigh on the 1H bullish move.
  • ▼ Nearest resistance at 158.12700 may cap upside; a failure to break could trigger a reversal.
  • ▼ Trend scores on higher timeframes are weak (1/5), indicating choppy conditions that could lead to false signals.
  • ▼ If price falls below 156.96200 support, the bullish signal would be invalidated.
Symbol USD/JPY
Timeframe 1H
Direction BUY
Conviction 96%
Strength VERY STRONG
Date 2026-11-02 09:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 158.12700 2026-10-29
R2 158.33600 2026-10-28
R3 158.34400 2026-10-21
S1 156.96200 2026-10-30
S2 156.64900 2026-10-26
S3 156.31100 2026-10-23

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