USD/JPY – 30M – BUY

BUY NEW
37 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.03 %
Entry
157.945
Target
158.336 +0.25 %
closes in profit
Stop
156.962 −0.62 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,754 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,754 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: MIDPOINT Break Up, HT TRENDLINE Break Up, MA Break Up +18 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,308 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
39.7 % ↓ −21.3 vs previous candle
WEAK ⚡ Confluence +6% Scalping
▲ Bullish 98 % (55.87) ▼ Bearish 2 % (1.19)
model score 29.1 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 2 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.4 % vs 17.7 % on average · stopped out 15.4 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 669 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
USD/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDISM Manufacturing Employment●●○Forecast 51.4Previous 52.7in 4h
  • TodayUSDISM Manufacturing Prices Paid●●●Forecast 80.7Previous 77.9in 4h
  • TodayUSDISM Manufacturing PMI●●●Forecast 54.7Previous 54.5in 4h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (2 Nov 2026, 10:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ MIDPOINT Break Up indicator 2.75
▲ HT TRENDLINE Break Up indicator 2.70
▲ MA Break Up indicator 2.68
▲ MIDPRICE Break Up indicator 2.66
▲ HMA Break Up indicator 2.59
▲ DEMA Break Up indicator 2.52
▲ KAMA Break Up indicator 2.49
▲ ALMA Break Up indicator 2.38
▲ SAR Flip Bullish indicator 2.32
▲ EMA Break Up indicator 2.29
▲ SMA 50 Retreat Up indicator 2.23
▲ CTI OS Exit indicator 2.11
▲ BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up indicator 2.02
▲ CCI Zero Cross Up indicator 2.01
▲ SMI Signal Cross Up indicator 1.95
▲ ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up indicator 1.78
▲ QSTICK Zero Cross Up indicator 1.74
▲ MOM Zero Cross Up indicator 1.72
▲ ROC Zero Cross Up indicator 1.72
▲ ROCR Cross Up indicator 1.72
▼ WILLR OB Entry indicator 1.19
▲ Long Line Bullish candlestick 1.15

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
UPChoppy / sideways
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bullish momentum on the 30-minute chart, with over 20 indicators aligned for a buy.
  • Immediate upside target is the nearest resistance at 157.99200.
  • Higher timeframes (2H to daily) are bearish, so this is likely a counter-trend move.
  • Invalidation level to watch is the nearest support at 156.96200.
The USD/JPY 30-minute chart has triggered a dense cluster of bullish momentum signals, including CCI, MOM, and ROC zero-line crossovers, a WILLR overbought entry, and breakouts above both the lower Bollinger Band and key EMAs/DEMA. The confluence of over 20 indicators in the same direction points to a very strong short-term buying impulse, with the nearest resistance at 157.99200 acting as the immediate upside target. The candlestick group adds confirmation, suggesting that buyers are in control at the time of the signal.

However, the higher timeframes paint a conflicting picture: the 2-hour through daily charts remain bearish, and only the 15-minute and 30-minute timeframes show bullish bias, with weak trend scores (2/5 and 1/5 respectively). This suggests that the current bullish move is likely a counter-trend rally within a larger downtrend. The signal's high probability (97%) is based on the strength of the intraday momentum, but traders should be cautious about expecting sustained upside beyond the nearest resistance. The key support at 156.96200 serves as the invalidation zone; a break below that would negate the bullish setup.
Catalysts
  • ▲ Multiple zero-line crossovers (CCI, MOM, ROC) confirm momentum shift to bullish.
  • ▲ Breakouts above EMAs and DEMA reinforce the bullish trend on the 30-minute timeframe.
  • ▲ WILLR overbought entry and Bollinger Band lower retreat indicate strong buying pressure.
  • ▲ Candlestick patterns add confluence to the indicator signals.
Risk Factors
  • ▼ Higher timeframes (2H to daily) are bearish, which could cap upside or reverse the move.
  • ▼ Trend scores on the 30-minute and 1-hour are weak (1/5), indicating choppy conditions.
  • ▼ A break below the nearest support at 156.96200 would invalidate the bullish signal.
  • ▼ Resistance at 157.99200 may act as a strong barrier, especially if the larger downtrend resumes.
Symbol USD/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction BUY
Conviction 29%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-11-02 09:30
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 157.99200 2026-11-02
R2 158.12700 2026-10-29
R3 158.33600 2026-10-28
S1 156.96200 2026-10-30

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