USD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW
47 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.05 %
Entry
157.825
Target
156.962 +0.55 %
closes in profit
Stop
158.597 −0.49 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,754 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,754 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: DI CROSS Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, CHOP Choppy +13 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,308 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
35.3 % ↓ −24.0 vs previous candle
WEAK ⚡ Confluence +6% Scalping
▲ Bullish 19 % (6.88) ▼ Bearish 81 % (28.64)
model score 2.1 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 2 candles
USD/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar
  • TomorrowUSDJOLTS Job Openings●●●Forecast 6.779MPrevious 7.079Min 18h
  • TomorrowUSDFactory Orders m/m●●○Forecast 0.1%Previous 0.1%in 18h
  • November 4, 2026USDADP Nonfarm Employment Change●●●Forecast 64KPrevious 90Kin 1 day

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (2 Nov 2026, 19:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ CCI OB Exit indicator 2.56
▲ WILLR OB Exit indicator 2.24
▲ KDJ OB Exit indicator 2.08
▼ DI CROSS Cross Down indicator 1.66
▼ STOCH KD Cross Down indicator 1.53
▼ CHOP Choppy indicator 1.52
▼ BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down indicator 1.49
▼ DM CROSS Cross Down indicator 1.47
▼ ERI BEAR Zero Cross Down indicator 1.47
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.42
▼ CTI OB Entry indicator 1.33
▼ HMA Direction Down indicator 1.32
▼ DPO Zero Cross Down indicator 1.31
▼ KELTNER MID Cross Down indicator 1.31
▼ TTM TREND Trend Down indicator 1.29
▼ BIAS Zero Cross Down indicator 1.20
▼ VORTEX Cross Down indicator 1.20
▼ STC OB Entry indicator 0.95
▼ Bearish Engulfing candlestick 0.94

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish momentum on the 30-minute chart, supported by multiple indicator crossovers and oscillator exits.
  • All timeframes except the 1-hour are bearish, but the overall trend is choppy and lacks strong directional conviction.
  • Key downside target is the nearest support at 157.60300; a break below could open further downside.
  • Watch the 1-hour bullish bias and the resistance at 158.00100 as potential invalidation triggers.
The USD/JPY 30-minute signal is strongly bearish, with a high-probability (80%) SELL triggered by a broad confluence of momentum and volatility indicators. The BOP Zero Cross Down, CCI OB Exit, DI CROSS Cross Down, DM CROSS Cross Down, STOCH KD Cross Down, WILLR OB Exit, BBANDS MIDDLE Cross Down, and BIAS Zero Cross Down all align to confirm a shift in momentum from bullish to bearish. The signal is reinforced by a cluster of candlestick patterns, adding to the conviction of the move.

Across timeframes, the trend is predominantly bearish, with all timeframes from 15 minutes to daily showing bearish bias, though each is marked as choppy/sideways with a low trend score (1/5). The 1-hour timeframe shows a conflicting bullish bias, which introduces a degree of uncertainty. The nearest support sits at 157.60300, while resistance is at 158.00100. A break below support would confirm further downside, while a move back above resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
Catalysts
  • ▼ High signal probability (80%) with strong confluence from multiple indicator groups (momentum, volatility, candlestick patterns).
  • ▼ Broad bearish alignment across most timeframes, from 15-minute to daily, supports the bearish bias.
  • ▼ Multiple oscillator exits from overbought territory (CCI, WILLR) and bearish crosses (DI, DM, STOCH) confirm momentum shift.
  • ▼ Bollinger Bands middle cross down and BIAS zero cross down add to the bearish case.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The 1-hour timeframe shows a bullish bias, which could conflict with the lower-timeframe bearish signal and lead to a bounce.
  • ▲ Overall trend scores are weak (1/5) across all timeframes, indicating a choppy, sideways market that may limit follow-through.
  • ▲ A move back above the nearest resistance at 158.00100 would invalidate the bearish setup and could trigger a short squeeze.
  • ▲ Momentum indicators are prone to whipsaws in ranging conditions; watch for a reversal signal before committing to a larger move.
Symbol USD/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 2%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-11-02 19:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 158.00100 2026-11-02
R2 158.12700 2026-10-29
S1 157.60300 2026-11-02
S2 156.96200 2026-10-30

Tags

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