ADA/USDT – 4H – BUY

BUY 4× UPDATED

2026-11-03 08:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −0.26 %

Entry

0.1897

Target

0.2101 +10.75 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.1820 −4.06 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 6 of 12

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 55 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,958 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,958 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

31 % at target avg +2.60 % 23 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.76 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.79 % 21 % at stop avg −3.71 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 5 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 31 of 100 across all crypto 4h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: SMI Signal Cross Up, MACD Signal Cross Up, KDJ Cross Up +9 more

Trend at entry: in 2 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

67.1 % – vs previous candle

VERY STRONG Swing

▲ Bullish 96 % (44.58) ▼ Bearish 4 % (1.94)

model score 95.8 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 7 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 6 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 17.3 % vs 31.9 % on average · stopped out 32.0 % vs 22.6 % (crypto, 2,218 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for ADA/USDT

Full calendar

15:00TodayUSDISM Non-Manufacturing Prices Paid●●●Forecast 69.5Previous 74.0in 50m
15:00TodayUSDISM Non-Manufacturing PMI●●●Forecast 55.2Previous 54.9in 50m
15:30TodayUSDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change●●●in 1h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 2× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 2× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (3 Nov 2026, 12:02 UTC, updated 4× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	ICHIMOKU TK Cross Down	indicator	2.10
▲	SMI Signal Cross Up	indicator	2.10
▲	MACD Signal Cross Up	indicator	2.02
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.87
▲	KDJ Cross Up	indicator	1.79
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.56
▲	HMA Direction Up	indicator	1.50
▲	RSX OS Exit	indicator	1.47
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.34
▲	TTM TREND Trend Up	indicator	1.32
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	1.26
▲	WILLR OS Exit	indicator	1.23
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	0.95
▲	Bullish Engulfing	candlestick	0.89

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNVery strong trend

12H

DOWNVery strong trend

DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A cluster of bullish momentum signals fired on the 4H, but the higher timeframes (8H, 12H) remain firmly bearish.
The bounce is likely counter-trend; watch the 0.21010 resistance as the key upside hurdle.
Support at 0.18200 is the invalidation level; a break below would negate the bullish setup.
Use tight stops and consider taking profits near resistance given the strong bearish trend context.

The ADA/USDT 4H chart has triggered a dense cluster of bullish momentum and oscillator signals, including a BOP zero cross up, CCI and Williams %R exits from oversold, a MACD signal cross up, and a KDJ cross up. Together these indicate that selling pressure is exhausting and buyers are stepping in for a potential short-term bounce. However, the broader trend picture remains firmly bearish: the 8H and 12H timeframes show very strong downtrends, and the 4H itself is still in a solid bearish trend. This suggests the bullish signals are likely a counter-trend reaction within a larger decline, not a reversal.

Key levels to watch are resistance at 0.21010 and support at 0.18200. A break above the resistance would signal stronger bullish intent, while a loss of the support would invalidate the bounce and likely resume the downtrend. Given the strong bearish higher-timeframe alignment, traders should treat this as a tactical long opportunity with tight risk management, not a trend-following setup.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple oscillator signals (BOP, CCI, WILLR, MACD, KDJ) all turned bullish simultaneously, indicating strong short-term momentum shift.
▲ Price retreated from the lower Bollinger Band, suggesting a bounce from oversold conditions.
▲ The 15m and 30m timeframes are already bullish, providing a near-term tailwind.

Risk Factors

▼ The higher timeframes (8H, 12H) show very strong bearish trends, which could overwhelm the bounce.
▼ The 1H, 2H, and 4H trends are still bearish, so the bullish signals are counter-trend and may be short-lived.
▼ If price breaks below the 0.18200 support, the bullish setup is invalidated and the downtrend likely resumes.
▼ Resistance at 0.21010 is nearby and may cap the upside, especially if broader sentiment remains negative.