AUD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL 8× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-03 13:30 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result −0.01 %

Entry

110.533

Target

109.957 +0.52 %

closes in profit

Stop

110.844 −0.28 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,031 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,031 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Trendline Break Down, EMA 200 Retreat Down, Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%) +4 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 35,239 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar

23:30November 9, 2026JPYHousehold Spending m/m●●○Forecast 0.8%Previous 0.1%in 3 days
23:30November 9, 2026JPYHousehold Spending y/y●●○Forecast -2.1%Previous -3.1%in 3 days
23:50November 9, 2026JPYAdjusted Current Account●●○in 3 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 8× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 8× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (3 Nov 2026, 14:00 UTC, updated 8× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	Trendline Break Downbreak + retest	trendline	2.60
▼	EMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	2.45
▼	Fibonacci Break DownTrend (24%)break + retest	fibonacci	2.24
▼	SMA 200 Retreat Down	indicator	2.14
▲	KDJ OB Exit	indicator	1.91
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.65
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.56
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.46
▲	ER Level Cross Up	indicator	1.40
▼	High Wave Bearish	candlestick	0.88

Trend Context

15M

UPTrend forming

30M

UPTrend forming

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal cluster on the 30M, led by trendline break and moving average retreats.
Higher timeframes (1H, 2H) confirm the downtrend; lower timeframes are still forming but weak.
Support at 109.95700 is the immediate downside target; resistance at 110.55800 is the invalidation zone.
Momentum oscillators are mixed (STOCH KD up vs STOCHF down), but the bearish weight dominates.

The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Break Down and BOP Zero Cross Down, with EMA 200 and SMA 200 Retreat Down confirming that both moving averages are now sloping lower. The STOCHF KD Cross Down and KDJ OB Exit add momentum confirmation, while the STOCH KD Cross Up and ER Level Cross Up are short-term counter-trend blips that do not outweigh the overall bearish pressure. The confluence across indicator, candlestick, trendline, and fibonacci groups points to a strong sell setup, with an 84% probability and strong strength score.

Across timeframes, the bearish case is supported by solid downtrends on the 1H and 2H, while the 4H through daily are bearish but choppy, suggesting the larger trend is not yet fully synchronized. The 15M and 30M are still technically bullish but only forming (2/5), and the immediate bearish push is likely to override them. Key levels to watch are resistance at 110.55800 and support at 109.95700; a break below support would confirm the next leg down, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the short-term bearish view.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple signal groups (trendline, indicator, candlestick, fibonacci) align in the same direction.
▼ EMA 200 and SMA 200 both retreating down, confirming a bearish moving average structure.
▼ BOP zero cross down indicates selling pressure is increasing.
▼ 1H and 2H solid downtrends provide a higher-timeframe tailwind.

Risk Factors

▲ 15M and 30M are still bullish (2/5), which could cause a short-term bounce before continuation.
▲ STOCH KD cross up and ER level cross up suggest a possible pullback within the downtrend.
▲ 4H through daily are only choppy bearish (1/5), so the larger trend lacks momentum.
▲ A break above resistance at 110.55800 would invalidate the bearish setup.