LUNC/USDT – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED
1 hour ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.20 %
Entry
0.00004044
Target
0.00003888 +3.86 %
closes in profit
Stop
0.00004231 −4.62 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 3 of 16
Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 54 of 100 crypto 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 13,595 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 13,595 closed crypto 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
33 % at target avg +1.11 % 21 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.08 % 22 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.09 % 24 % at stop avg −1.44 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 15 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 33 of 100 across all crypto 30m signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: QSTICK Zero Cross Down, STOCHF KD Cross Down, MOM Zero Cross Down +5 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 35,239 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
38.0 % ↓ −24.9 vs previous candle
WEAK Scalping
▲ Bullish 15 % (3.16) ▼ Bearish 85 % (17.95)
model score 10.9 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 3 candles
LUNC/USDT  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for LUNC/USDT

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDUnemployment Rate●●●Forecast 4.2%Previous 4.2%in 11h
  • TodayUSDAverage Hourly Earnings m/m●●●Forecast 0.2%Previous 0.1%in 11h
  • TodayUSDNonfarm Payrolls●●●Forecast 55KPrevious 29Kin 11h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 3 × 30m 11%
conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (6 Nov 2026, 01:02 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▲ WILLR OB Exit indicator 2.16
▼ QSTICK Zero Cross Down indicator 1.81
▲ SAR Flip Bullish indicator 1.57
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.55
▼ MOM Zero Cross Down indicator 1.51
▼ ROC Zero Cross Down indicator 1.51
▼ ROCR Cross Down indicator 1.51
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.49
▲ ERI BEAR Zero Cross Up indicator 1.21
▲ AROON Strong Uptrend indicator 1.20
▼ Shooting Star candlestick 1.14
▼ Bearish Harami candlestick 0.86

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNTrend forming
4H
DOWNSolid trend
8H
DOWNVery strong trend
12H
DOWNExtremely strong trend
1D
DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Bearish signal on 30m aligns with strong downtrends on 8h, 12h, and 1d, suggesting the move has room to run.
  • Multiple momentum indicators (BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR) confirm declining buying pressure, supporting the sell signal.
  • Watch the 0.00004 level: a break below could accelerate the decline, while a bounce might lead to a pause.
  • The 15m bullish formation is a short-term counter-trend; monitor if it can flip the higher timeframe bias.
The SELL signal on LUN/CUSDT at the 30-minute timeframe is backed by a broad bearish alignment across multiple timeframes. The 12-hour chart shows an extremely strong downtrend, with the 8-hour and 1-day charts also very strong, while the 30-minute, 1-hour, and 4-hour all confirm solid bearish momentum. The confluence of Aroon Strong Uptrend (which, despite its name, indicates a recent high but is now reversing), BOP Zero Cross Down, MOM Zero Cross Down, ROC Zero Cross Down, and ROCR Cross Down all point to deteriorating buying pressure and accelerating downside. Additionally, STOCHF KD Cross Down and WILLR OB Exit signal that momentum has turned lower, while the SAR Flip Bullish suggests a potential short-term bounce but is outweighed by the broader bearish trend. The 15-minute chart shows a forming bullish trend, which could offer temporary relief, but the overall picture remains bearish.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance and support, both at 0.00004, which suggests a tight range. A break below this level could confirm further downside, while a bounce off it might lead to consolidation. The moderate strength and 71% probability indicate a decent edge but not a high-conviction trade. Traders should monitor whether the 15-minute bullish formation can develop into a larger reversal, which would invalidate the bearish signal. Until then, the path of least resistance appears to be lower, with the strong alignment across higher timeframes supporting the bearish outlook.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Strong bearish trend alignment across 30m to 1d, with the 12h showing extremely strong momentum.
  • ▼ Confluence of multiple zero-cross and cross-down signals from BOP, MOM, ROC, and ROCR.
  • ▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down and WILLR OB Exit indicate momentum is turning lower from overbought conditions.
  • ▼ SAR Flip Bullish may be a lagging signal, but the overall trend structure remains bearish.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The 15m chart shows a forming bullish trend, which could lead to a short-term bounce that stalls the decline.
  • ▲ Nearest support and resistance are at the same level (0.00004), indicating a tight range that might see choppy price action.
  • ▲ Aroon Strong Uptrend and SAR Flip Bullish suggest some bullish signals are present, which could indicate a potential reversal.
  • ▲ If the price breaks above 0.00004, the bearish signal would be invalidated, and the trend could shift.
Symbol LUNC/USDT
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 11%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-11-06 00:30
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 0.00004 2026-11-05
R2 0.00004 2026-11-04
S1 0.00004 2026-11-05

Tags

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