AUD/JPY – 30M – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED CLOSED
2 days ago
The plan for this signal Closed at stop · result −0.25 %
Entry
110.283
Target
110.070 +0.19 %
closes in profit
Stop
110.558 −0.25 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,031 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 3,031 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
18 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: Descending Triangle, Trendline Break Down, HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down +8 more

Trend at entry: in 7 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 35,239 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
AUD/JPY  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for AUD/JPY

Full calendar
  • November 9, 2026JPYHousehold Spending m/m●●○Forecast 0.8%Previous 0.1%in 3 days
  • November 9, 2026JPYHousehold Spending y/y●●○Forecast -2.1%Previous -3.1%in 3 days
  • November 9, 2026JPYAdjusted Current Account●●○in 3 days

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

100 50 0 entry now · 7 × 30m 3%
conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (3 Nov 2026, 10:30 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ Descending Trianglebreak + retest chart_pattern 4.21
▼ Trendline Break Downbreak + retest trendline 2.63
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 2.62
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 2.49
▼ EMA 50 Retreat Down indicator 2.48
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 2.40
▼ SMA 50 Retreat Down indicator 2.15
▲ FISHER Zero Cross Up indicator 1.80
▲ SAR Flip Bullish indicator 1.64
▼ KELTNER MID Cross Down indicator 1.63
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.47
▲ HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up indicator 1.06
▼ High Wave Bearish candlestick 1.00
▼ Bearish Harami candlestick 0.93

Trend Context

15M
UPTrend forming
30M
DOWNSolid trend
1H
DOWNSolid trend
2H
DOWNSolid trend
4H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
8H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1D
DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • Strong bearish confluence on the 30M chart: trendline break, descending triangle, and multiple moving average retreats.
  • Trend alignment is solid on 30M, 1H, and 2H, supporting the sell signal despite a minor bullish 15M pullback.
  • Watch the 110.20100 support; a break could extend the decline, while a move above 110.55800 would negate the bearish setup.
  • Higher timeframes are choppy, so the trend may lack momentum—manage risk accordingly.
The AUD/JPY 30-minute chart is firing a dense cluster of bearish signals, led by a Trendline Break Down and a Descending Triangle, with the BOP Zero Cross Down confirming selling pressure. The EMA 50, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA, and MA Retreat Downs all point to momentum shifting lower, while the SAR Flip Bullish suggests a short-term bounce attempt that may be an opportunity to sell into strength. With a 92% probability and very strong strength, the confluence across indicator, trendline, chart pattern, and candlestick groups reinforces the bearish bias.

Across timeframes, the 30-minute, 1-hour, and 2-hour charts all show solid bearish trends (3/5), aligning with the signal's direction. The 15-minute chart is bullish but only forming (2/5), indicating a minor pullback that could offer a better entry. Higher timeframes (4H to 1D) are bearish but choppy, suggesting the trend is not yet fully established but favors downside. Key levels to watch: nearest resistance at 110.55800 and support at 110.20100. A break below support could accelerate selling, while a reclaim of resistance would invalidate the bearish setup.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Multiple signals from different groups (indicator, trendline, chart pattern, candlestick) all point to the same direction.
  • ▼ Descending Triangle is a classic bearish continuation pattern, reinforced by the Trendline Break Down.
  • ▼ BOP Zero Cross Down confirms selling pressure, and the EMA 50 Retreat Down indicates momentum is shifting lower.
  • ▼ Solid bearish trend scores (3/5) on 30M, 1H, and 2H align with the signal.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The 15-minute chart is bullish (trend forming), which could lead to a short-term bounce that temporarily works against the sell.
  • ▲ Higher timeframes (4H to 1D) are choppy/sideways, suggesting the trend may lack conviction and could reverse.
  • ▲ The SAR Flip Bullish indicates a possible short-term reversal, so watch for a break above the nearest resistance at 110.55800.
  • ▲ If price fails to break below 110.20100 support, the bearish setup could stall, leading to consolidation.
Symbol AUD/JPY
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 3%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-11-03 10:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 110.55800 2026-11-03
R2 110.84400 2026-11-02
R3 110.93000 2026-11-02
S1 110.20100 2026-10-30

Tags

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