AVAX/USDT – 12H – BUY

BUY 2× UPDATED

2026-11-03 00:00 UTC 1 day ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +1.54 %

Entry

8.5250

Target

11.7300 +37.60 %

closes in profit

Stop

7.1690 −15.91 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price · now candle 2 of 9

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 50 of 100 crypto 12h signals ended in profit · on average −0.09 % per trade 731 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 731 closed crypto 12h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

23 % at target avg +5.12 % 27 % holding time ended, in profit avg +3.75 % 33 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −3.86 % 17 % at stop avg −6.06 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 10 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 23 of 100 across all crypto 12h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: TEMA Retreat Up, BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up +2 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

67.1 % ↑ +4.2 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG Position

▲ Bullish 100 % (9.92) ▼ Bearish 0 % (0.00)

model score 100.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 3 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 21.4 % vs 31.9 % on average · stopped out 26.8 % vs 22.6 % (crypto, 2,989 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for AVAX/USDT

Full calendar

15:00TodayUSDISM Non-Manufacturing Prices Paid●●●Forecast 69.5Previous 74.0in 50m
15:00TodayUSDISM Non-Manufacturing PMI●●●Forecast 55.2Previous 54.9in 50m
15:30TodayUSDEIA Crude Oil Stocks Change●●●in 1h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 50% — below this the other side leads

Holding up. Conviction has not dropped below the halfway mark since entry.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (3 Nov 2026, 12:02 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	TEMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.98
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	1.84
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.65
▲	STOCHF KD Cross Up	indicator	1.03
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	0.85
▲	Bullish Harami	candlestick	0.69

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bullish reversal signals on the 12H chart suggest a potential bounce, but the higher timeframe trend is still bearish.
Immediate resistance at 11.73000 is the key level to watch for confirmation of a larger reversal.
Support at 7.16900 is critical; losing this level would invalidate the bullish setup.
The signal strength is strong (77% probability), but conflicting higher timeframes warrant caution.

The 12H chart for AVA/XUSDT has fired a cluster of bullish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, STOCHF KD Cross Up, BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up, TEMA Retreat Up, ER Level Cross Down, and a Bullish Harami candlestick pattern. These signals collectively suggest that buying pressure is emerging and that price may be attempting to reverse from oversold conditions. The confluence of momentum, volatility, and candlestick signals on the 12H timeframe points to a potential short-term bounce, with immediate resistance at 11.73000 and key support at 7.16900.

However, the higher timeframe trend remains bearish, with the 4H, 8H, and 12H all showing solid downtrends. This creates a conflict between the bullish reversal signals on the 12H and the broader bearish structure. The lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) are showing bullish momentum, which supports the idea of a corrective rally, but the bearish higher timeframes suggest that any upside may be limited unless the price can break above the nearest resistance. Traders should watch for a sustained move above 11.73000 to confirm a larger reversal, while a failure to hold above support could invalidate the bullish setup.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple bullish signals firing simultaneously on the 12H timeframe (BOP, STOCHF, BBANDS, TEMA, ER, Bullish Harami).
▲ Bullish momentum on lower timeframes (15m, 30m, 1h) supports the reversal attempt.
▲ Price retreating from the lower Bollinger Band and TEMA retreating up indicate oversold conditions being corrected.
▲ Strong signal strength (77%) and solid trend scores on the 12H and 8H suggest the move has backing.

Risk Factors

▼ Bearish trend on higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 12H) could overpower the bullish reversal signals.
▼ Resistance at 11.73000 is a significant barrier; failure to break above it may lead to a failed bounce.
▼ Momentum could fade quickly if the price fails to hold above the recent lows, with support at 7.16900 as the invalidation level.
▼ The 2H and 4H timeframes are choppy/sideways, indicating a lack of clear directional conviction.