BCH/USDT – 4H – SELL

SELL 1× UPDATED

2026-11-03 16:00 UTC 23 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −2.22 %

Entry

274.20

Target

263.30 +3.98 %

closes in profit

Stop

297.90 −8.64 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 5 of 12

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 55 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,958 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,958 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

31 % at target avg +2.60 % 23 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.76 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.79 % 21 % at stop avg −3.71 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 10 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 31 of 100 across all crypto 4h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: STOCHF KD Cross Down, SMI Signal Cross Down, DEMA Retreat Down +6 more

Trend at entry: in 8 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

39.0 % ↓ −3.8 vs previous candle

WEAK Swing

▲ Bullish 15 % (2.48) ▼ Bearish 85 % (14.23)

model score 13.8 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 6 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for BCH/USDT

Full calendar

13:30TomorrowUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 18h
13:30November 6, 2026USDAverage Hourly Earnings m/m●●●Forecast 0.2%Previous 0.1%in 1 day
13:30November 6, 2026USDNonfarm Payrolls●●●Forecast 55KPrevious 29Kin 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (3 Nov 2026, 20:02 UTC, updated 1× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	DX Trend Strong	indicator	1.74
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.70
▼	SMI Signal Cross Down	indicator	1.52
▼	DEMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.50
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.44
▲	WILLR OS Entry	indicator	1.37
▲	Three Line Strike - Bullish	candlestick	1.31
▼	Bearish Engulfing	candlestick	1.02
▼	TTM TREND Trend Down	indicator	0.96
▼	Last Engulfing Bottom	candlestick	0.88
▼	Belt Hold Bearish	candlestick	0.84
▼	Last Engulfing Top	candlestick	0.77

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish confluence on the 4H chart with multiple momentum and trend indicators aligned.
All timeframes are bearish, but only the 2H and 4H are showing trend formation; others are choppy.
Watch the 297.90 resistance level as the key invalidation point for the bearish setup.
The first downside target is the 263.30 support, but the move may be gradual given the sideways higher timeframes.

The 4H chart for BCH/USDT has fired a dense cluster of bearish signals, with the BOP Zero Cross Down leading the charge and confirming that buyers have lost control of the order flow. The DX Trend Strong signal indicates that the prevailing downtrend is gaining momentum, while the STOCHF KD Cross Down and SMI Signal Cross Down add momentum confirmation from oscillators. The WILLR OS Entry suggests the move is still in its early stages, while the DEMA Retreat Down and TTM TREND Trend Down reinforce the bearish bias across multiple trend-following indicators. The Three Line Strike - Bullish candlestick pattern appears as a counter-trend signal, but its bullish implication is outweighed by the overwhelming bearish confluence.

Across timeframes, the trend is uniformly bearish, though the strength is moderate. The 4H and 2H timeframes show a trend forming (2/5), while the 1H and lower timeframes are choppy and sideways. This suggests that while the overall direction is down, the market may not be trending strongly yet. The nearest resistance at 297.90 is the key level to watch; a break above would invalidate the bearish setup. The nearest support at 263.30 is the first target, but given the choppy nature of the higher timeframes, the move may be gradual rather than sharp.

Catalysts

▼ BOP Zero Cross Down confirms a shift in buying pressure to selling pressure.
▼ DX Trend Strong indicates the current downtrend is gaining strength.
▼ Multiple momentum oscillators (STOCHF, SMI) are crossing down in sync.
▼ The 4H and 2H timeframes are both forming a downtrend, providing a consistent intraday picture.

Risk Factors

▲ The Three Line Strike - Bullish candlestick pattern could signal a temporary bounce, which may slow the decline.
▲ Higher timeframes (8H, 12H, 1D) are only mildly bearish and choppy, suggesting the trend may lack follow-through.
▲ A break above the 297.90 resistance would invalidate the bearish signal and could trigger a short squeeze.
▲ Momentum oscillators are already in oversold territory (WILLR OS), which could lead to a consolidation or rebound.