CFX/USDT – 4H – SELL

SELL 2× UPDATED

2026-11-03 16:00 UTC 23 hours ago

The plan for this signal Running · now −1.69 %

Entry

0.04605

Target

0.04277 +7.12 %

closes in profit

Stop

0.04915 −6.73 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 12 candles (2 days), at the market price · now candle 5 of 12

Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 55 of 100 crypto 4h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,958 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,958 closed crypto 4h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

31 % at target avg +2.60 % 23 % holding time ended, in profit avg +2.76 % 24 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −2.79 % 21 % at stop avg −3.71 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: fewer than 5 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 31 of 100 across all crypto 4h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: SMA Retreat Down, KELTNER MID Cross Down, MOM Zero Cross Down +6 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 34,623 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

39.0 % ↓ −15.9 vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +11% Swing

▲ Bullish 35 % (5.86) ▼ Bearish 65 % (10.66)

model score 16.3 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 6 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for CFX/USDT

Full calendar

13:30TomorrowUSDInitial Jobless Claims●●●in 18h
13:30November 6, 2026USDAverage Hourly Earnings m/m●●●Forecast 0.2%Previous 0.1%in 1 day
13:30November 6, 2026USDNonfarm Payrolls●●●Forecast 55KPrevious 29Kin 1 day

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 3× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 3× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (3 Nov 2026, 20:02 UTC, updated 2× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▼	SMA Retreat Down	indicator	2.42
▼	KELTNER MID Cross Down	indicator	2.06
▼	MOM Zero Cross Down	indicator	2.00
▼	ROC Zero Cross Down	indicator	2.00
▼	ROCR Cross Down	indicator	2.00
▼	STOCHF KD Cross Down	indicator	1.96
▼	QSTICK Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.87
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.47
▼	Hanging Man	candlestick	1.16

Trend Context

15M

UPChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

DOWNChoppy / sideways

DOWNSolid trend

12H

DOWNSolid trend

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bearish signal on 4H with multiple indicators aligned.
Higher timeframes (8H, 12H) confirm bearish trend, adding conviction.
Watch support at 0.04277; a break below signals further downside.
Resistance at 0.04915 is the key invalidation level to monitor.

The 4H sell signal on CFX/USDT is backed by a broad cluster of momentum and trend indicators all crossing below their zero lines or midlines, including BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR, STOCHF, SMA Retreat, Keltner Mid, and QSTICK. This confluence indicates strong selling pressure and a clear bearish shift in short-term momentum. The signal aligns with the higher timeframes, where the 8H and 12H charts show solid bearish trends, providing a supportive backdrop for continued downside. However, the lower timeframes (15m, 1h) are still bullish and choppy, suggesting potential for short-term bounces that could test the downside.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 0.04915 and support at 0.04277. A break below support would confirm the bearish continuation, while a move back above resistance would invalidate the signal. Given the very strong probability and alignment with higher timeframe trends, the path of least resistance is lower, but traders should be cautious of the conflicting lower timeframe bullishness.

Catalysts

▼ Confluence of 9+ indicators all pointing bearish on 4H.
▼ Solid bearish trends on 8H and 12H timeframes support continuation.
▼ Momentum and trend indicators crossing below zero lines indicate strong selling pressure.
▼ Signal strength rated 'very strong' with 100% probability.

Risk Factors

▲ Lower timeframes (15m, 1h) are still bullish, which could trigger short-term bounces.
▲ Choppy/sideways conditions on most timeframes may lead to false breakouts.
▲ If price reclaims resistance at 0.04915, the bearish signal would be invalidated.
▲ Fading momentum on higher timeframes could stall the downtrend.