ETH/USDT – 1H – SELL

SELL NEW
58 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now +0.07 %
Entry
2,297.96
Target
2,241.15 +2.47 %
closes in profit
Stop
2,317.84 −0.87 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 15
Target and stop are fixed (taken from chart levels).
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 54 of 100 crypto 1h signals ended in profit · on average +0.03 % per trade 6,681 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 6,681 closed crypto 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
32 % at target avg +1.60 % 22 % holding time ended, in profit avg +1.52 % 23 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −1.52 % 23 % at stop avg −2.01 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

This trade, as of now: about 5 of 100 trades in a state like this reached their target. For comparison: 32 of 100 across all crypto 1h signals.

Measured per candle on past crypto trades and checked on trades not used for learning (off by 0.5 points on average, 1.3 on live trades). Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: ZSCORE Extreme High Exit, ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Retreat, HMA Retreat Down +2 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,931 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
52.8 % – first candle
WEAK Intraday
▲ Bullish 43 % (5.53) ▼ Bearish 57 % (7.38)
model score 57.2 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (5091 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 21.2 % vs 32.0 % on average · stopped out 26.8 % vs 22.7 % (crypto, 2,930 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
ETH/USDT  ·  1H
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Signal evolution

Events for ETH/USDT

Full calendar
  • TomorrowUSDADP Nonfarm Employment Change●●●Forecast 64KPrevious 90Kin 19h
  • TomorrowUSDISM Non-Manufacturing Prices Paid●●●Forecast 69.5Previous 74.0in 20h
  • TomorrowUSDISM Non-Manufacturing PMI●●●Forecast 55.2Previous 54.9in 20h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (3 Nov 2026, 17:02 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ ZSCORE Extreme High Exit indicator 1.96
▲ STOCH KD Cross Up indicator 1.85
▼ ACCBANDS UPPER Upper Retreat indicator 1.84
▼ HMA Retreat Down indicator 1.62
▲ KST Zero Cross Up indicator 1.56
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.33
▲ Takuri Line candlestick 1.20
▲ Dragonfly Doji candlestick 1.11
▼ Bearish Harami Cross candlestick 0.88

Trend Context

15M
UPSolid trend
30M
UPTrend forming
1H
UPTrend forming
2H
UPChoppy / sideways
4H
UPTrend forming
8H
DOWNTrend forming
12H
DOWNSolid trend
1D
DOWNSolid trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • The 1H sell signal is weak (57%) and conflicts with the bullish lower timeframe trends, suggesting a potential short-term pullback rather than a major reversal.
  • Key levels: resistance at 2317.84 and support at 2241.15; a break below support would strengthen the bearish case.
  • The higher timeframe (12h, 1d) is bearish, providing a potential backdrop for a larger decline if the pullback gains momentum.
  • The candlestick patterns (Dragonfly Doji, Takuri Line) and ZSCORE Extreme High Exit indicate exhaustion, but confirmation is needed.
The 1H SELL signal on ETH/USDT is firing despite a predominantly bullish intraday trend, creating a notable divergence. The signal combines momentum and candlestick patterns, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, KST Zero Cross Up, and HMA Retreat Down, alongside a Dragonfly Doji and Takuri Line. These patterns suggest a potential short-term pullback or reversal, with the ZSCORE Extreme High Exit indicating that price has moved significantly above its mean and may be due for a reversion. However, the signal's weak strength (57% probability) and the bullish alignment on the 15m through 4h timeframes argue against a sustained decline, suggesting the sell signal may represent a temporary correction within a larger uptrend.

Key levels to watch are the nearest resistance at 2317.84 and support at 2241.15. A break below support would confirm bearish momentum and align with the higher timeframe (8h, 12h, 1d) bearish trends, potentially extending the decline. Conversely, if price holds above support and resumes higher, the sell signal would likely be invalidated. The higher timeframe bearish trend (12h and 1d solid) provides a backdrop that could support a deeper move, but the immediate bullish momentum on lower timeframes suggests caution. Traders should monitor price action around these levels and watch for confirmation from subsequent candles.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Higher timeframe bearish trend (12h, 1d) aligns with the sell signal, potentially adding weight to the bearish case.
  • ▼ ZSCORE Extreme High Exit suggests price is overextended and may revert to the mean.
  • ▼ Multiple candlestick reversal patterns (Dragonfly Doji, Takuri Line) signal potential exhaustion.
  • ▼ Nearest resistance at 2317.84 is close, and a rejection there could trigger a move toward support.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ The sell signal is weak (57%) and lower timeframes (15m-4h) are bullish, which could lead to a quick bounce and invalidation.
  • ▲ A break above the nearest resistance at 2317.84 would negate the bearish setup and could accelerate the uptrend.
  • ▲ The KST Zero Cross Up and STOCH KD Cross Up are bullish momentum signals within the sell cluster, indicating conflicting signals.
  • ▲ If price holds support at 2241.15 and forms a higher low, the sell signal would likely be invalidated.
Symbol ETH/USDT
Timeframe 1H
Direction SELL
Conviction 57%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-11-03 16:00
cat_ Crypto Crypto

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 2,317.84000 2026-11-02
R2 2,379.55000 2026-10-29
R3 2,391.55000 2026-10-28
S1 2,241.15000 2026-11-03
S2 2,237.38000 2026-11-02
S3 2,208.40000 2026-10-30

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