USD/JPY – 1H – BUY

BUY NEW

2026-11-03 16:00 UTC 1 hour ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.08 %

Entry

158.508

Target

159.080 +0.36 %

closes in profit

Stop

156.962 −0.98 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 15 candles (15 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 15

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 51 of 100 forex 1h signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 1,483 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 1,483 closed forex 1h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

15 % at target avg +0.37 % 36 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.15 % 37 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.17 % 12 % at stop avg −0.38 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: Ascending Triangle, T3 Break Up, HMA Break Up +11 more

Trend at entry: in 6 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,931 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

46.9 % ↓ −14.1 vs previous candle

WEAK ⚡ Confluence +60% Intraday

▲ Bullish 99 % (78.02) ▼ Bearish 1 % (1.10)

model score 42.0 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 2 candles

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Signal evolution

Events for USD/JPY

Full calendar

13:15TomorrowUSDADP Nonfarm Employment Change●●●Forecast 64KPrevious 90Kin 18h
13:30TomorrowUSDImports●●○Previous $420.754Bin 18h
13:30TomorrowUSDExports●●○Previous $315.182Bin 18h

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (3 Nov 2026, 17:00 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	Ascending Trianglebreak + retest	chart_pattern	3.53
▲	T3 Break Up	indicator	2.84
▲	HMA Break Up	indicator	2.84
▲	Trendline Break Upbreak + retest	trendline	2.71
▲	ALMA Break Up	indicator	2.66
▲	HT TRENDLINE Retreat Up	indicator	2.41
▲	MAMA PRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.40
▲	MIDPOINT Retreat Up	indicator	2.39
▲	KAMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.38
▲	MA Retreat Up	indicator	2.32
▲	EMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.31
▲	DEMA Retreat Up	indicator	2.30
▲	MIDPRICE Retreat Up	indicator	2.26
▲	STOCH KD Cross Up	indicator	1.82
▼	Advance Block	candlestick	1.10

Trend Context

15M

UPSolid trend

30M

UPTrend forming

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNChoppy / sideways

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Strong bullish confluence on the 1H chart: trendline break, ascending triangle, and multiple moving average retreats.
Momentum is confirmed by the STOCH KD Cross Up, supporting the upward move.
Key support at 156.96200 is the level to watch; a break below would weaken the bullish case.
Higher timeframes (12H, 1D) are bearish, so the bullish signal is primarily a short-term opportunity.

The USD/JPY 1H signal is overwhelmingly bullish, with a 98% probability and very strong strength, driven by a confluence of technical events: a Trendline Break Up, an Ascending Triangle breakout, and multiple moving average retreat signals (DEMA, EMA, HT Trendline, KAMA, MA) all pointing upward. The STOCH KD Cross Up adds momentum confirmation. This cluster of signals suggests a strong upward push from the current level, with the nearest support at 156.96200 serving as a key floor.

Across timeframes, the trend is bullish but with varying degrees of conviction. The 15-minute and 30-minute charts show a solid and forming trend, respectively, while the 1H to 8H timeframes are bullish but choppy/sideways, indicating that the higher-timeframe trend is not yet fully aligned. The 12H and 1D timeframes are bearish, which introduces a potential headwind. The immediate focus is on the support at 156.96200; holding above this level reinforces the bullish bias, while a break below would invalidate the setup.

Catalysts

▲ Confluence of multiple bullish signals on the 1H timeframe, including a Trendline Break Up and Ascending Triangle.
▲ Moving average retreat signals (DEMA, EMA, HT Trendline, KAMA, MA) all aligning in the bullish direction.
▲ Stochastic KD Cross Up adds momentum confirmation to the breakout.
▲ Support at 156.96200 provides a clear reference for the bullish structure.

Risk Factors

▼ The 12H and 1D timeframes are bearish, which could limit the upside or lead to a reversal.
▼ Higher timeframes (1H-8H) show a choppy/sideways trend, indicating a lack of strong momentum beyond the short term.
▼ If price breaks below the nearest support at 156.96200, the bullish setup would be invalidated.
▼ The extremely high probability (98%) may attract contrarian positioning, increasing the risk of a sharp pullback.