EUR/USD – 30M – BUY

BUY 9× UPDATED CLOSED

2026-11-03 12:30 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Closed after the holding time · result +0.10 %

Entry

1.11812

Target

1.12068 +0.23 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.11477 −0.30 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price

So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 3,031 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 3,031 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

18 % at target avg +0.24 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA 200 Retreat Up, SMA 200 Retreat Up, BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up +6 more

Trend at entry: in 3 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 35,239 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

⚠ Opened against the trend in 5 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 11.5 % vs 18.2 % on average · stopped out 15.3 % vs 12.2 % (forex, 738 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/USD

Full calendar

07:00TodayEURIndustrial Production m/m●●○Forecast 1.1%Previous 2.0%in 5h
10:00TodayEURRetail Sales m/m●●●Forecast -0.1%Previous 0.1%in 8h
13:30TodayUSDU6 Unemployment Rate●●○Forecast 7.5%Previous 7.6%in 12h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 5× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 5× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (3 Nov 2026, 13:00 UTC, updated 9× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	EMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	1.94
▲	SMA 200 Retreat Up	indicator	1.89
▲	BBANDS LOWER Retreat Up	indicator	1.88
▲	HMA Retreat Up	indicator	1.78
▲	CCI OS Exit	indicator	1.72
▲	SQUEEZE Squeeze Fire	indicator	1.40
▼	ER Level Cross Down	indicator	1.39
▲	BOP Zero Cross Up	indicator	1.34
▲	HMA Direction Up	indicator	1.24
▲	Hammer	candlestick	0.93

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

UPChoppy / sideways

12H

DOWNTrend forming

DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

A powerful cluster of bullish signals on the 30m chart suggests a short-term bounce is likely.
The daily trend is strongly bearish, so any upside may be limited and should be treated as a counter-trend move.
Key levels to watch: support at 1.11770 and resistance at 1.12068—a break of either will set the next direction.
The Squeeze Fire indicates potential for a volatility expansion, which could amplify the move.

The EUR/USD 30-minute chart has fired a cluster of bullish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Up, CCI OS Exit, and multiple moving average retreats (EMA 200, SMA 200, HMA), alongside a BBANDS Lower Retreat Up and a Squeeze Fire. The combination suggests that downside momentum is exhausting and buyers are stepping in near the lower Bollinger Band, with the squeeze indicating a potential volatility expansion. The signal's very strong probability (91%) is supported by this confluence of indicators, but it must be weighed against the broader trend context.

Across timeframes, the picture is mixed: the 15m to 1h trends are bearish and choppy, while the 2h to 8h trends are bullish but also choppy. The 12h and daily trends are bearish, with the daily showing a very strong downtrend (4/5). This creates a conflict—the short-term reversal signals are firing against a dominant daily bearish trend. The nearest support at 1.11770 and resistance at 1.12068 define the immediate trading range; a break above resistance would validate the bullish reversal, while a loss of support would invalidate it and likely resume the larger downtrend.

Catalysts

▲ Multiple indicators (BOP, CCI, BBANDS, EMA200, SMA200, HMA) are all aligning to signal bullish momentum.
▲ The Squeeze Fire suggests that the recent consolidation is about to break out, often leading to a strong directional move.
▲ The signal's very strong strength and high probability (91%) reflect a high degree of confluence among the indicators.
▲ The 2h to 8h trends are bullish, providing some longer-term support for a bounce.

Risk Factors

▼ The daily trend is strongly bearish (4/5), which could overwhelm the short-term bullish signal and lead to a continuation lower.
▼ The 15m to 1h trends are bearish and choppy, indicating that the immediate momentum is not yet confirmed to the upside.
▼ If price breaks below the nearest support at 1.11770, the bullish signal is invalidated and a drop toward lower levels is likely.
▼ The mixed trend scores across timeframes suggest that the market is indecisive, and the bullish move may be short-lived.