EUR/USD – 30M – SELL

SELL NEW
59 minutes ago
The plan for this signal Running · now −0.04 %
Entry
1.11873
Target
1.11477 +0.35 %
closes in profit
Stop
1.12371 −0.45 %
closes at a loss
At the latest
after 16 candles (8 hours), at the market price · now candle 1 of 16
Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.
The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.
So far 51 of 100 forex 30m signals ended in profit · on average ≈ 0 % per trade 2,754 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer
What we have measured
This is how 2,754 closed forex 30m signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:
17 % at target avg +0.23 % 34 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.11 % 40 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.12 % 9 % at stop avg −0.35 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads
Why this signal

Triggered by: EMA Retreat Down, KAMA Retreat Down, SMA 50 Retreat Down +9 more

Trend at entry: in 4 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work
  • Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 33,308 closed live signals.
  • Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
  • What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
  • More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
  • All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.
Details for professionals
35.3 % ↓ −25.7 vs previous candle
WEAK Scalping
▲ Bullish 0 % (0.00) ▼ Bearish 100 % (17.21)
model score 8.7 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)
Conviction · 2 candles
⚠ Opened against the trend in 4 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 12.8 % vs 17.7 % on average · stopped out 15.2 % vs 12.1 % (forex, 673 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.
EUR/USD  ·  30M
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Signal evolution

Events for EUR/USD

Full calendar
  • TodayUSDJOLTS Job Openings●●●Forecast 6.779MPrevious 7.079Min 9h
  • TodayUSDFactory Orders m/m●●○Forecast 0.1%Previous 0.1%in 9h
  • TomorrowEURUnemployment Change●●○Forecast 27.971KPrevious 23.587Kin 1 day

All times UTC.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (3 Nov 2026, 04:30 UTC). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

Signals Fired Category Weight
▼ EMA Retreat Down indicator 1.66
▼ KAMA Retreat Down indicator 1.66
▼ SMA 50 Retreat Down indicator 1.64
▼ MA Retreat Down indicator 1.63
▼ HT TRENDLINE Retreat Down indicator 1.62
▼ STOCHF KD Cross Down indicator 1.46
▼ QSTICK Zero Cross Down indicator 1.42
▼ MOM Zero Cross Down indicator 1.39
▼ ROC Zero Cross Down indicator 1.39
▼ ROCR Cross Down indicator 1.39
▼ BOP Zero Cross Down indicator 1.35
▼ Bearish Harami candlestick 0.94

Trend Context

15M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
30M
DOWNChoppy / sideways
1H
UPChoppy / sideways
2H
UPChoppy / sideways
4H
UPTrend forming
8H
UPChoppy / sideways
12H
DOWNTrend forming
1D
DOWNVery strong trend

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways
  • A powerful bearish signal cluster on the 30-minute chart suggests strong short-term selling pressure.
  • The 1-day trend is strongly bearish, but the 4-hour and 8-hour are still bullish, creating a conflicting medium-term outlook.
  • Watch the 1.11477 support level; a break below it would confirm the bearish move, while a bounce could invalidate the signal.
  • The nearest resistance at 1.12371 is the key level to monitor for any upside reversal.
The EUR/USD 30-minute chart has fired a dense cluster of momentum and trend signals, all pointing lower. The simultaneous zero-cross downs on BOP, MOM, ROC, and ROCR, combined with the STOCHF KD cross down and retreats from EMA, HT TRENDLINE, and KAMA, indicate a strong, broad-based bearish push. This confluence across multiple indicators suggests that selling pressure is not isolated to one oscillator but is systemic across momentum and trend-following tools.

However, the higher timeframe picture is mixed. While the 1-day chart shows a very strong bearish trend (4/5) and the 12-hour is bearish, the 4-hour and 8-hour are still bullish, and the 1-hour and 2-hour are bullish as well. This means the current sell signal is counter to the medium-term trend, which could limit downside follow-through. The nearest support at 1.11477 is a key level to watch; a break below it would confirm the bearish momentum, while a bounce could signal a false breakdown. Resistance at 1.12371 is the immediate hurdle for any upside correction.
Catalysts
  • ▼ Confluence of multiple momentum indicators (BOP, MOM, ROC, ROCR, STOCHF) all crossing down simultaneously.
  • ▼ Trend-following indicators (EMA, HT TRENDLINE, KAMA) retreating down, confirming the bearish direction.
  • ▼ The 1-day and 12-hour timeframes are bearish, supporting the longer-term downtrend.
  • ▼ Signal probability is 100% with very strong strength, indicating high conviction in the setup.
Risk Factors
  • ▲ Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 1H, 2H) are still bullish, which could lead to a counter-trend bounce.
  • ▲ The 30-minute and 15-minute trends are weak (1/5) and choppy, suggesting the current momentum may not be sustainable.
  • ▲ If price fails to break below the 1.11477 support, the bearish signal could be a false breakdown.
  • ▲ A close above the 1.12371 resistance would invalidate the bearish setup and signal a shift back to bullish.
Symbol EUR/USD
Timeframe 30M
Direction SELL
Conviction 9%
Strength WEAK
Date 2026-11-03 04:00
cat_ Forex Forex

Support & Resistance

Level Price Formed
R1 1.12371 2026-11-02
S1 1.11477 2026-11-02
S2 1.11365 2026-10-30
S3 1.11044 2026-10-29

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