GBP/USD – 12H – SELL

SELL 4× UPDATED

2026-11-03 10:00 UTC 2 days ago

The plan for this signal Running · now +0.23 %

Entry

1.34137

Target

1.31369 +2.06 %

closes in profit

Stop

1.35678 −1.15 %

closes at a loss

At the latest

after 9 candles (4.5 days), at the market price · now candle 5 of 9

Target and stop are recalculated on every candle and can move.

The plan applies until the end. Warning signs along the way are notes, not an exit signal – exiting at warning signs has not paid off on average in our measurements.

So far 50 of 100 forex 12h signals ended in profit · on average −0.01 % per trade 234 closed signals since 6 Sep 2026 · Information, not investment advice · past results are not a reliable indicator of future results · Disclaimer

What we have measured

This is how 234 closed forex 12h signals since 6 Sep 2026 ended:

19 % at target avg +0.71 % 31 % holding time ended, in profit avg +0.44 % 32 % holding time ended, at a loss avg −0.50 % 18 % at stop avg −0.67 %

Missing the target is not the same as a loss: when the holding time ends, the trade closes at the market price – in profit or at a loss.

Real live signals, nothing selected · gross, without your broker’s fees and spreads

Why this signal

Triggered by: AO Saucer Bearish, BOP Zero Cross Down, HMA Retreat Down +1 more

Trend at entry: in 1 of 8 timeframes in the signal direction

The engine evaluates many detectors on every candle – chart patterns, indicators, trend lines, support and resistance – and weights each one by how it has performed so far.

All triggers · Trend context · AI assessment

How we work

Every signal is tracked to the end and counted, losses included – so far 36,073 closed live signals.
Every figure on this page was fixed in advance and checked on data that was not used to develop it.
What does not hold up, we do not recommend: we tested exiting at warning signs on about 98,000 trades – on average it gains nothing, so there is no such recommendation.
More than 150 logged experiments, each with its result – including the ones that failed.
All figures are gross: without your broker’s fees, spreads and slippage.

Details for professionals

61.0 % ↑ +5.3 vs previous candle

VERY STRONG ⚡ Confluence +8% Position

▲ Bullish 5 % (2.07) ▼ Bearish 95 % (38.34)

model score 94.9 – ranks this signal within its class, it is not a probability; the large figure is the measured frequency (1318 closed runs, 2026-09-18)

Conviction · 6 candles

⚠ Opened against the trend in 7 of 8 timeframes. Target hit 9.2 % vs 18.7 % on average · stopped out 17.9 % vs 12.5 % (forex, 574 closed runs). Not a reason to act – a reason to watch.

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Signal evolution

Events for GBP/USD

Full calendar

12:15TodayGBPBoE MPC Member Pill Speech●●○in 1h
13:30TodayUSDAverage Hourly Earnings y/y●●○Forecast 3.1%Previous 3.0%in 3h
13:30TodayUSDAverage Hourly Earnings m/m●●●Forecast 0.2%Previous 0.1%in 3h

All times UTC.

Conviction, candle by candle

conviction per candle 1× below 35% 50% — below this the other side leads

Dropped below 35% 1× and recovered. A falling line is a warning, not an instruction — signals that dip and come back are normal. Watch for a line that stays down.

Signals Fired

These are the triggers as captured when the signal opened (3 Nov 2026, 22:00 UTC, updated 4× since). They are not recalculated — the chart shows current candles.
This signal is still open and is being tracked candle by candle on this page until it closes.

	Signals Fired	Category	Weight
▲	HT SINE Zero Cross Up	indicator	2.10
▼	AO Saucer Bearish	indicator	1.66
▼	BOP Zero Cross Down	indicator	1.55
▼	HMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.40
▼	ZLMA Retreat Down	indicator	1.40
▲	HT PHASOR Inphase Cross Up	indicator	1.19
▲	Long Legged Doji	candlestick	0.87

Trend Context

15M

DOWNChoppy / sideways

30M

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

UPSolid trend

UPTrend forming

12H

UPChoppy / sideways

UPTrend forming

Analysis

🎯 Key Takeaways

Bearish signals on the 12H chart suggest a potential pullback, but the higher timeframe trend is still bullish.
Watch key levels: resistance at 1.34191 and support at 1.31369.
Signal strength is weak, so expect limited downside unless price breaks below support.
The Long Legged Doji indicates indecision, adding uncertainty to the bearish case.

The 12H chart for GBP/USD has fired a cluster of bearish signals, including a BOP Zero Cross Down, a Bearish AO Saucer, and a Long Legged Doji, alongside retreats in both HMA and ZLMA. These indicate that selling pressure is emerging and momentum is shifting lower on the intraday timeframe. However, the overall trend across higher timeframes remains bullish, with the 4H showing a solid uptrend and most other timeframes in bullish formation. This creates a conflict between the short-term bearish signals and the longer-term bullish trend.

Key levels to watch are resistance at 1.34191, which aligns with the recent highs, and support at 1.31369, a significant demand zone. The bearish signals suggest a potential pullback toward support, but the bullish higher timeframe trend could limit downside momentum. Traders should monitor whether price can hold below the 12H resistance or if a break above it would invalidate the bearish setup. The weak signal strength and mixed trend alignment call for caution.

Catalysts

▼ Multiple bearish indicators (BOP, AO, HMA, ZLMA) align on the 12H timeframe.
▼ The Long Legged Doji at a potential resistance level adds a candlestick confirmation.
▼ The bearish signals occurred after a period of bullish momentum, suggesting a possible reversal or correction.

Risk Factors

▲ Higher timeframes (4H, 8H, 1D) remain bullish, which could overpower the 12H bearish signals.
▲ The 30M and 1H timeframes are bullish, indicating short-term buying pressure may resume.
▲ A break above resistance at 1.34191 would invalidate the bearish setup.
▲ Weak signal strength (57%) suggests the move may lack conviction.